Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Taipei's August 19 high reflects Central Weather Administration ensemble guidance showing typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with daytime maxima near the 32–34°C seasonal norm. Key differentiators include variable afternoon convection from monsoon moisture and urban heat-island effects that can suppress or elevate peaks by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover and timing of showers. Recent model runs indicate a slight cooling influence from an approaching frontal boundary, keeping probabilities clustered tightly while acknowledging uncertainty in exact resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated CWA briefings and satellite data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 19?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 19?
33°C 38%
32°C 29%
34°C 19%
31°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
29%
33°C
38%
34°C
19%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 38%
32°C 29%
34°C 19%
31°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$191 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$27 Vol.
1%
30°C
$72 Vol.
2%
31°C
$15 Vol.
9%
32°C
$48 Vol.
29%
33°C
$593 Vol.
38%
34°C
$227 Vol.
19%
35°C
$271 Vol.
6%
36°C or higher
$82 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Taipei's August 19 high reflects Central Weather Administration ensemble guidance showing typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with daytime maxima near the 32–34°C seasonal norm. Key differentiators include variable afternoon convection from monsoon moisture and urban heat-island effects that can suppress or elevate peaks by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover and timing of showers. Recent model runs indicate a slight cooling influence from an approaching frontal boundary, keeping probabilities clustered tightly while acknowledging uncertainty in exact resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated CWA briefings and satellite data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,838End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Taipei's August 19 high reflects Central Weather Administration ensemble guidance showing typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with daytime maxima near the 32–34°C seasonal norm. Key differentiators include variable afternoon convection from monsoon moisture and urban heat-island effects that can suppress or elevate peaks by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover and timing of showers. Recent model runs indicate a slight cooling influence from an approaching frontal boundary, keeping probabilities clustered tightly while acknowledging uncertainty in exact resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated CWA briefings and satellite data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,838End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Taipei's August 19 high reflects Central Weather Administration ensemble guidance showing typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with daytime maxima near the 32–34°C seasonal norm. Key differentiators include variable afternoon convection from monsoon moisture and urban heat-island effects that can suppress or elevate peaks by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover and timing of showers. Recent model runs indicate a slight cooling influence from an approaching frontal boundary, keeping probabilities clustered tightly while acknowledging uncertainty in exact resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated CWA briefings and satellite data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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