Latest ensemble forecasts from major centers show Moscow's August 19 high most likely near 19°C, with trader consensus reflecting modest model agreement amid typical mid-August variability. A weakening high-pressure ridge and moderate southwesterly flow are expected to deliver mild Atlantic air while limiting strong daytime heating, though variable cloud cover and light winds could add or subtract 1–2°C depending on exact timing. Recent European heat patterns earlier in August have given way to more zonal flow, reducing the chance of warmer advection but leaving room for localized clearing that favors the upper end of the 18–20°C cluster. Forecasters will update with new model runs through the 18th as resolution tightens on these small-scale factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 19?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 19?
19°C 33%
18°C 25%
20°C 23%
17°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
3%
17°C
11%
18°C
25%
19°C
33%
20°C
23%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
2%
19°C 33%
18°C 25%
20°C 23%
17°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
$562 Vol.
3%
17°C
$90 Vol.
11%
18°C
$67 Vol.
25%
19°C
$31 Vol.
33%
20°C
$243 Vol.
23%
21°C
$41 Vol.
7%
22°C
$17 Vol.
3%
23°C
$110 Vol.
3%
24°C
$1,199 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
4%
26°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major centers show Moscow's August 19 high most likely near 19°C, with trader consensus reflecting modest model agreement amid typical mid-August variability. A weakening high-pressure ridge and moderate southwesterly flow are expected to deliver mild Atlantic air while limiting strong daytime heating, though variable cloud cover and light winds could add or subtract 1–2°C depending on exact timing. Recent European heat patterns earlier in August have given way to more zonal flow, reducing the chance of warmer advection but leaving room for localized clearing that favors the upper end of the 18–20°C cluster. Forecasters will update with new model runs through the 18th as resolution tightens on these small-scale factors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,372End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major centers show Moscow's August 19 high most likely near 19°C, with trader consensus reflecting modest model agreement amid typical mid-August variability. A weakening high-pressure ridge and moderate southwesterly flow are expected to deliver mild Atlantic air while limiting strong daytime heating, though variable cloud cover and light winds could add or subtract 1–2°C depending on exact timing. Recent European heat patterns earlier in August have given way to more zonal flow, reducing the chance of warmer advection but leaving room for localized clearing that favors the upper end of the 18–20°C cluster. Forecasters will update with new model runs through the 18th as resolution tightens on these small-scale factors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,372End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major centers show Moscow's August 19 high most likely near 19°C, with trader consensus reflecting modest model agreement amid typical mid-August variability. A weakening high-pressure ridge and moderate southwesterly flow are expected to deliver mild Atlantic air while limiting strong daytime heating, though variable cloud cover and light winds could add or subtract 1–2°C depending on exact timing. Recent European heat patterns earlier in August have given way to more zonal flow, reducing the chance of warmer advection but leaving room for localized clearing that favors the upper end of the 18–20°C cluster. Forecasters will update with new model runs through the 18th as resolution tightens on these small-scale factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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