Recent forecasts from global models indicate Moscow will experience a cooling trend on August 18, 2026, following warmer conditions around 25–27°C the prior day, positioning the daily maximum near 22–23°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range because subtle variations in forecast guidance—such as the strength of northerly flow, cloud cover inhibiting daytime heating, and boundary-layer moisture—can shift the peak by 1°C. Official agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and European models show limited spread at this short lead time, with resolution hinging on observed maximum readings from central Moscow stations. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide baseline context, but the current synoptic setup favors the tightly bunched 22°C and 23°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 18?
23°C 38%
22°C 34%
21°C 13%
24°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
13%
22°C
34%
23°C
38%
24°C
9%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
23°C 38%
22°C 34%
21°C 13%
24°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
18°C or below
$26 Vol.
2%
19°C
$263 Vol.
3%
20°C
$51 Vol.
6%
21°C
$23 Vol.
13%
22°C
$27 Vol.
34%
23°C
$23 Vol.
38%
24°C
$17 Vol.
9%
25°C
$117 Vol.
3%
26°C
$94 Vol.
6%
27°C
$15 Vol.
5%
28°C or higher
$10 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate Moscow will experience a cooling trend on August 18, 2026, following warmer conditions around 25–27°C the prior day, positioning the daily maximum near 22–23°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range because subtle variations in forecast guidance—such as the strength of northerly flow, cloud cover inhibiting daytime heating, and boundary-layer moisture—can shift the peak by 1°C. Official agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and European models show limited spread at this short lead time, with resolution hinging on observed maximum readings from central Moscow stations. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide baseline context, but the current synoptic setup favors the tightly bunched 22°C and 23°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$666End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate Moscow will experience a cooling trend on August 18, 2026, following warmer conditions around 25–27°C the prior day, positioning the daily maximum near 22–23°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range because subtle variations in forecast guidance—such as the strength of northerly flow, cloud cover inhibiting daytime heating, and boundary-layer moisture—can shift the peak by 1°C. Official agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and European models show limited spread at this short lead time, with resolution hinging on observed maximum readings from central Moscow stations. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide baseline context, but the current synoptic setup favors the tightly bunched 22°C and 23°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$666End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate Moscow will experience a cooling trend on August 18, 2026, following warmer conditions around 25–27°C the prior day, positioning the daily maximum near 22–23°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range because subtle variations in forecast guidance—such as the strength of northerly flow, cloud cover inhibiting daytime heating, and boundary-layer moisture—can shift the peak by 1°C. Official agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and European models show limited spread at this short lead time, with resolution hinging on observed maximum readings from central Moscow stations. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide baseline context, but the current synoptic setup favors the tightly bunched 22°C and 23°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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