Traders are positioning around 32–33°C for Karachi’s highest temperature on August 18 because official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather show typical August highs near 32°C amid monsoon moisture and cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Recent observations indicate daily maxima fluctuating between 31–35°C, with a noted warming trend expected to push southern Sindh readings toward 34–36°C by mid-month, yet model consensus and historical climatology for the period favor outcomes clustered near the long-term average. Key variables include steering patterns, humidity levels, and any late-week convective activity that could suppress peak readings, with updated PMD guidance and next model runs likely to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 18?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 18?
32°C 44%
33°C 25%
31°C 18%
30°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
10%
31°C
18%
32°C
44%
33°C
25%
34°C
10%
35°C
7%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 44%
33°C 25%
31°C 18%
30°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$20 Vol.
9%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$6 Vol.
18%
32°C
$11 Vol.
44%
33°C
$0 Vol.
25%
34°C
$13 Vol.
10%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C
$0 Vol.
7%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are positioning around 32–33°C for Karachi’s highest temperature on August 18 because official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather show typical August highs near 32°C amid monsoon moisture and cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Recent observations indicate daily maxima fluctuating between 31–35°C, with a noted warming trend expected to push southern Sindh readings toward 34–36°C by mid-month, yet model consensus and historical climatology for the period favor outcomes clustered near the long-term average. Key variables include steering patterns, humidity levels, and any late-week convective activity that could suppress peak readings, with updated PMD guidance and next model runs likely to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$50End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are positioning around 32–33°C for Karachi’s highest temperature on August 18 because official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather show typical August highs near 32°C amid monsoon moisture and cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Recent observations indicate daily maxima fluctuating between 31–35°C, with a noted warming trend expected to push southern Sindh readings toward 34–36°C by mid-month, yet model consensus and historical climatology for the period favor outcomes clustered near the long-term average. Key variables include steering patterns, humidity levels, and any late-week convective activity that could suppress peak readings, with updated PMD guidance and next model runs likely to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are positioning around 32–33°C for Karachi’s highest temperature on August 18 because official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather show typical August highs near 32°C amid monsoon moisture and cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Recent observations indicate daily maxima fluctuating between 31–35°C, with a noted warming trend expected to push southern Sindh readings toward 34–36°C by mid-month, yet model consensus and historical climatology for the period favor outcomes clustered near the long-term average. Key variables include steering patterns, humidity levels, and any late-week convective activity that could suppress peak readings, with updated PMD guidance and next model runs likely to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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