Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show the highest temperature in Chongqing on August 18 centered in the mid-30s Celsius, with the narrow spread between 34°C and 36°C reflecting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convection, and local basin effects two days ahead. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, yet recent model runs indicate potential for modest warming under clearer skies or slight cooling from increased cloud cover and humidity. Traders weigh these variables against resolution criteria focused on official station readings, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily maximum within the current tight distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 18?
35°C 29%
34°C 27%
38°C 17%
36°C 15%
31°C or below
10%
32°C
6%
33°C
7%
34°C
27%
35°C
29%
36°C
15%
37°C
14%
38°C
17%
39°C
8%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
1%
35°C 29%
34°C 27%
38°C 17%
36°C 15%
31°C or below
10%
32°C
6%
33°C
7%
34°C
27%
35°C
29%
36°C
15%
37°C
14%
38°C
17%
39°C
8%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show the highest temperature in Chongqing on August 18 centered in the mid-30s Celsius, with the narrow spread between 34°C and 36°C reflecting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convection, and local basin effects two days ahead. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, yet recent model runs indicate potential for modest warming under clearer skies or slight cooling from increased cloud cover and humidity. Traders weigh these variables against resolution criteria focused on official station readings, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily maximum within the current tight distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions