Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a cooling trend for Munich on August 17, driven by a shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and thundery showers that limit daytime heating after hotter conditions on August 16. Official guidance points to a maximum near 22–23°C, with surface observations and ensemble runs showing modest spread around this range due to variable precipitation timing and intensity. Historical August baselines in the region average highs near 24°C, but the current pattern favors suppressed peaks. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 22°C and 23°C outcomes because small differences in storm track or timing could tip the daily maximum either way, with updated runs expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 17?
23°C 38%
22°C 36%
21°C 14%
24°C 9%
20°C or below
5%
21°C
14%
22°C
36%
23°C
38%
24°C
9%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 38%
22°C 36%
21°C 14%
24°C 9%
20°C or below
5%
21°C
14%
22°C
36%
23°C
38%
24°C
9%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a cooling trend for Munich on August 17, driven by a shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and thundery showers that limit daytime heating after hotter conditions on August 16. Official guidance points to a maximum near 22–23°C, with surface observations and ensemble runs showing modest spread around this range due to variable precipitation timing and intensity. Historical August baselines in the region average highs near 24°C, but the current pattern favors suppressed peaks. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 22°C and 23°C outcomes because small differences in storm track or timing could tip the daily maximum either way, with updated runs expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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