Trader consensus for Kuala Lumpur's peak temperature on August 17 shows closely matched market-implied odds of 47.5% for 33°C and 40.5% for 34°C, highlighting genuine short-term forecast uncertainty near the typical August high of 32–33°C. Official guidance from the Malaysian Meteorological Department projects a maximum of 34°C under mostly dry conditions with isolated late thunderstorms, while model runs and historical climatology indicate that variable cloud cover, humidity levels around 70–80%, and weak steering winds can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C through reduced solar heating or enhanced convective cooling. Recent hot-weather alerts across Peninsular Malaysia and slightly above-average temperatures this month add upward pressure, yet equatorial stability and potential afternoon showers limit upside beyond 34°C. Updated model consensus and evening observations will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 17?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 17?
33°C 48%
34°C 41%
32°C 8%
35°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
48%
34°C
41%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 48%
34°C 41%
32°C 8%
35°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
28°C or below
$245 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$648 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$422 Vol.
2%
32°C
$866 Vol.
8%
33°C
$1,149 Vol.
48%
34°C
$1,778 Vol.
41%
35°C
$812 Vol.
7%
36°C
$566 Vol.
2%
37°C
$416 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Kuala Lumpur's peak temperature on August 17 shows closely matched market-implied odds of 47.5% for 33°C and 40.5% for 34°C, highlighting genuine short-term forecast uncertainty near the typical August high of 32–33°C. Official guidance from the Malaysian Meteorological Department projects a maximum of 34°C under mostly dry conditions with isolated late thunderstorms, while model runs and historical climatology indicate that variable cloud cover, humidity levels around 70–80%, and weak steering winds can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C through reduced solar heating or enhanced convective cooling. Recent hot-weather alerts across Peninsular Malaysia and slightly above-average temperatures this month add upward pressure, yet equatorial stability and potential afternoon showers limit upside beyond 34°C. Updated model consensus and evening observations will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Volume
$6,084End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Kuala Lumpur's peak temperature on August 17 shows closely matched market-implied odds of 47.5% for 33°C and 40.5% for 34°C, highlighting genuine short-term forecast uncertainty near the typical August high of 32–33°C. Official guidance from the Malaysian Meteorological Department projects a maximum of 34°C under mostly dry conditions with isolated late thunderstorms, while model runs and historical climatology indicate that variable cloud cover, humidity levels around 70–80%, and weak steering winds can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C through reduced solar heating or enhanced convective cooling. Recent hot-weather alerts across Peninsular Malaysia and slightly above-average temperatures this month add upward pressure, yet equatorial stability and potential afternoon showers limit upside beyond 34°C. Updated model consensus and evening observations will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,084End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Kuala Lumpur's peak temperature on August 17 shows closely matched market-implied odds of 47.5% for 33°C and 40.5% for 34°C, highlighting genuine short-term forecast uncertainty near the typical August high of 32–33°C. Official guidance from the Malaysian Meteorological Department projects a maximum of 34°C under mostly dry conditions with isolated late thunderstorms, while model runs and historical climatology indicate that variable cloud cover, humidity levels around 70–80%, and weak steering winds can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C through reduced solar heating or enhanced convective cooling. Recent hot-weather alerts across Peninsular Malaysia and slightly above-average temperatures this month add upward pressure, yet equatorial stability and potential afternoon showers limit upside beyond 34°C. Updated model consensus and evening observations will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions