Recent meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 17 converge on a daytime maximum near 32–34°C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities on those outcomes and the city’s subtropical monsoon August average. Thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover remain key variables that could suppress or permit brief peaks, while high humidity and weak steering winds limit rapid changes. Model consensus from sources such as the UK Met Office and regional guidance shows modest spread around these values, with any shift in precipitation timing or intensity able to tip resolution between adjacent brackets. Traders are weighting the narrow historical range of late-summer highs against the short forecast horizon and inherent uncertainty in convective development.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 17?
33°C 35%
34°C 25%
32°C 19%
35°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
19%
33°C
35%
34°C
25%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 35%
34°C 25%
32°C 19%
35°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
$521 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$573 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$484 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$255 Vol.
3%
31°C
$380 Vol.
6%
32°C
$472 Vol.
19%
33°C
$484 Vol.
35%
34°C
$456 Vol.
25%
35°C
$837 Vol.
14%
36°C
$718 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$379 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 17 converge on a daytime maximum near 32–34°C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities on those outcomes and the city’s subtropical monsoon August average. Thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover remain key variables that could suppress or permit brief peaks, while high humidity and weak steering winds limit rapid changes. Model consensus from sources such as the UK Met Office and regional guidance shows modest spread around these values, with any shift in precipitation timing or intensity able to tip resolution between adjacent brackets. Traders are weighting the narrow historical range of late-summer highs against the short forecast horizon and inherent uncertainty in convective development.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$5,559End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 17 converge on a daytime maximum near 32–34°C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities on those outcomes and the city’s subtropical monsoon August average. Thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover remain key variables that could suppress or permit brief peaks, while high humidity and weak steering winds limit rapid changes. Model consensus from sources such as the UK Met Office and regional guidance shows modest spread around these values, with any shift in precipitation timing or intensity able to tip resolution between adjacent brackets. Traders are weighting the narrow historical range of late-summer highs against the short forecast horizon and inherent uncertainty in convective development.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,559End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 17 converge on a daytime maximum near 32–34°C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities on those outcomes and the city’s subtropical monsoon August average. Thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover remain key variables that could suppress or permit brief peaks, while high humidity and weak steering winds limit rapid changes. Model consensus from sources such as the UK Met Office and regional guidance shows modest spread around these values, with any shift in precipitation timing or intensity able to tip resolution between adjacent brackets. Traders are weighting the narrow historical range of late-summer highs against the short forecast horizon and inherent uncertainty in convective development.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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