Qingdao’s coastal location on the Yellow Sea produces a moderating maritime influence that typically caps daily highs in mid-August near 30–32°C through persistent sea breezes and higher humidity. Latest forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and AccuWeather converge on a 31–32°C peak for 17 August under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, with limited afternoon heating expected from light easterly flow. This pattern follows earlier Shandong heat warnings that have since eased, keeping the probability-weighted range centered on 32–34°C. Model consensus shows low likelihood of either strong onshore advection that would suppress temperatures below 30°C or clear-sky subsidence capable of pushing readings to 35°C or higher. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum observation will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 17?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 17?
33°C 43%
32°C 24%
34°C 22%
30°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
9%
31°C
9%
32°C
24%
33°C
43%
34°C
22%
35°C
6%
36°C
8%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 43%
32°C 24%
34°C 22%
30°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
28°C or below
$119 Vol.
1%
29°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$45 Vol.
9%
31°C
$79 Vol.
9%
32°C
$649 Vol.
24%
33°C
$854 Vol.
43%
34°C
$135 Vol.
22%
35°C
$96 Vol.
6%
36°C
$26 Vol.
8%
37°C
$46 Vol.
4%
38°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Qingdao’s coastal location on the Yellow Sea produces a moderating maritime influence that typically caps daily highs in mid-August near 30–32°C through persistent sea breezes and higher humidity. Latest forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and AccuWeather converge on a 31–32°C peak for 17 August under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, with limited afternoon heating expected from light easterly flow. This pattern follows earlier Shandong heat warnings that have since eased, keeping the probability-weighted range centered on 32–34°C. Model consensus shows low likelihood of either strong onshore advection that would suppress temperatures below 30°C or clear-sky subsidence capable of pushing readings to 35°C or higher. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum observation will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Volume
$2,116End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Qingdao’s coastal location on the Yellow Sea produces a moderating maritime influence that typically caps daily highs in mid-August near 30–32°C through persistent sea breezes and higher humidity. Latest forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and AccuWeather converge on a 31–32°C peak for 17 August under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, with limited afternoon heating expected from light easterly flow. This pattern follows earlier Shandong heat warnings that have since eased, keeping the probability-weighted range centered on 32–34°C. Model consensus shows low likelihood of either strong onshore advection that would suppress temperatures below 30°C or clear-sky subsidence capable of pushing readings to 35°C or higher. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum observation will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,116End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Qingdao’s coastal location on the Yellow Sea produces a moderating maritime influence that typically caps daily highs in mid-August near 30–32°C through persistent sea breezes and higher humidity. Latest forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and AccuWeather converge on a 31–32°C peak for 17 August under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, with limited afternoon heating expected from light easterly flow. This pattern follows earlier Shandong heat warnings that have since eased, keeping the probability-weighted range centered on 32–34°C. Model consensus shows low likelihood of either strong onshore advection that would suppress temperatures below 30°C or clear-sky subsidence capable of pushing readings to 35°C or higher. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum observation will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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