Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates Austin highs of 102–103 °F on August 17 under persistent high pressure and south-southeasterly flow, explaining the near-even market split between the 100–101 °F (41 %) and 102–103 °F (46.5 %) bins. Day-to-day variability stems from subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and dew-point advection that can shift the peak by 1–2 °F, while climatological August maxima near 97 °F and recent heat-wave analogs support limited upside beyond 104 °F. Official thermometer readings at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will resolve the market once the daily maximum is certified.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 17?
102-103°F 47%
100-101°F 41%
104-105°F 8%
98-99°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
47%
104-105°F
8%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 47%
100-101°F 41%
104-105°F 8%
98-99°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
93°F or below
$38 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$275 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$23 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$89 Vol.
6%
100-101°F
$200 Vol.
41%
102-103°F
$100 Vol.
47%
104-105°F
$19 Vol.
8%
106-107°F
$91 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$64 Vol.
1%
110-111°F
$102 Vol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$365 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates Austin highs of 102–103 °F on August 17 under persistent high pressure and south-southeasterly flow, explaining the near-even market split between the 100–101 °F (41 %) and 102–103 °F (46.5 %) bins. Day-to-day variability stems from subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and dew-point advection that can shift the peak by 1–2 °F, while climatological August maxima near 97 °F and recent heat-wave analogs support limited upside beyond 104 °F. Official thermometer readings at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will resolve the market once the daily maximum is certified.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,366End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates Austin highs of 102–103 °F on August 17 under persistent high pressure and south-southeasterly flow, explaining the near-even market split between the 100–101 °F (41 %) and 102–103 °F (46.5 %) bins. Day-to-day variability stems from subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and dew-point advection that can shift the peak by 1–2 °F, while climatological August maxima near 97 °F and recent heat-wave analogs support limited upside beyond 104 °F. Official thermometer readings at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will resolve the market once the daily maximum is certified.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,366End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates Austin highs of 102–103 °F on August 17 under persistent high pressure and south-southeasterly flow, explaining the near-even market split between the 100–101 °F (41 %) and 102–103 °F (46.5 %) bins. Day-to-day variability stems from subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and dew-point advection that can shift the peak by 1–2 °F, while climatological August maxima near 97 °F and recent heat-wave analogs support limited upside beyond 104 °F. Official thermometer readings at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will resolve the market once the daily maximum is certified.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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