Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office points to daytime maxima of 38–40°C in Jeddah on August 19, driven by persistent high-pressure patterns, clear skies, and moderate northerly winds off the Red Sea that limit extreme heat while sustaining typical summer humidity levels around 50–70%. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 37–40°C rather than a single dominant outcome. Historical August averages near 37–39°C provide additional context, with no major synoptic shifts expected before resolution. Updated runs on August 18 will further narrow uncertainty in peak readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 19?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 19?
39°C 36%
38°C 26%
37°C 17%
40°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
12%
37°C
17%
38°C
26%
39°C
23%
40°C
16%
41°C or higher
13%
39°C 36%
38°C 26%
37°C 17%
40°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
31°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5 Vol.
1%
35°C
$0 Vol.
1%
36°C
$0 Vol.
12%
37°C
$0 Vol.
17%
38°C
$0 Vol.
26%
39°C
$7 Vol.
23%
40°C
$0 Vol.
16%
41°C or higher
$211 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office points to daytime maxima of 38–40°C in Jeddah on August 19, driven by persistent high-pressure patterns, clear skies, and moderate northerly winds off the Red Sea that limit extreme heat while sustaining typical summer humidity levels around 50–70%. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 37–40°C rather than a single dominant outcome. Historical August averages near 37–39°C provide additional context, with no major synoptic shifts expected before resolution. Updated runs on August 18 will further narrow uncertainty in peak readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$238End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office points to daytime maxima of 38–40°C in Jeddah on August 19, driven by persistent high-pressure patterns, clear skies, and moderate northerly winds off the Red Sea that limit extreme heat while sustaining typical summer humidity levels around 50–70%. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 37–40°C rather than a single dominant outcome. Historical August averages near 37–39°C provide additional context, with no major synoptic shifts expected before resolution. Updated runs on August 18 will further narrow uncertainty in peak readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$238End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office points to daytime maxima of 38–40°C in Jeddah on August 19, driven by persistent high-pressure patterns, clear skies, and moderate northerly winds off the Red Sea that limit extreme heat while sustaining typical summer humidity levels around 50–70%. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 37–40°C rather than a single dominant outcome. Historical August averages near 37–39°C provide additional context, with no major synoptic shifts expected before resolution. Updated runs on August 18 will further narrow uncertainty in peak readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions