Forecast models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather point to a daytime high near 32°C for Karachi on August 14, supporting the market's 64.5% implied probability for that outcome alongside narrower odds on 31°C and 33°C. Mid-August monsoon conditions bring high humidity, afternoon sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and scattered cloud cover that typically cap maxima near the historical average of 31–32°C. Recent observations show temperatures fluctuating between 30–34°C amid variable thunderstorm activity, with no strong heatwave signals in current runs. Updated model guidance and official evening briefings tomorrow will refine these projections ahead of final readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 14?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 14?
32°C 65%
31°C 16%
33°C 16%
34°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
16%
32°C
65%
33°C
16%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 65%
31°C 16%
33°C 16%
34°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
27°C or below
$456 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$496 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$750 Vol.
1%
30°C
$771 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,041 Vol.
16%
32°C
$2,311 Vol.
65%
33°C
$1,799 Vol.
16%
34°C
$684 Vol.
2%
35°C
$414 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$528 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$448 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather point to a daytime high near 32°C for Karachi on August 14, supporting the market's 64.5% implied probability for that outcome alongside narrower odds on 31°C and 33°C. Mid-August monsoon conditions bring high humidity, afternoon sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and scattered cloud cover that typically cap maxima near the historical average of 31–32°C. Recent observations show temperatures fluctuating between 30–34°C amid variable thunderstorm activity, with no strong heatwave signals in current runs. Updated model guidance and official evening briefings tomorrow will refine these projections ahead of final readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$9,698End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather point to a daytime high near 32°C for Karachi on August 14, supporting the market's 64.5% implied probability for that outcome alongside narrower odds on 31°C and 33°C. Mid-August monsoon conditions bring high humidity, afternoon sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and scattered cloud cover that typically cap maxima near the historical average of 31–32°C. Recent observations show temperatures fluctuating between 30–34°C amid variable thunderstorm activity, with no strong heatwave signals in current runs. Updated model guidance and official evening briefings tomorrow will refine these projections ahead of final readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,698End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather point to a daytime high near 32°C for Karachi on August 14, supporting the market's 64.5% implied probability for that outcome alongside narrower odds on 31°C and 33°C. Mid-August monsoon conditions bring high humidity, afternoon sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and scattered cloud cover that typically cap maxima near the historical average of 31–32°C. Recent observations show temperatures fluctuating between 30–34°C amid variable thunderstorm activity, with no strong heatwave signals in current runs. Updated model guidance and official evening briefings tomorrow will refine these projections ahead of final readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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