Current atmospheric conditions over Moscow have produced a verified daily maximum surface air temperature of 18°C, as measured by official meteorological stations and consistent with model consensus from agencies tracking regional synoptic patterns. This outcome reflects cooler-than-average August advection of maritime air masses, suppressing typical seasonal highs near 22°C. The market's near-certain positioning on 18°C stems from real-time observational data and the proximity to day's end, leaving minimal scope for further warming. Only an unforecast late-day surge or measurement revision could alter resolution, though current stability in pressure and wind fields makes such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 14?
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$37,002 Vol.
$37,002 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$37,002 Vol.
$37,002 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
$2,457 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,605 Vol.
No
15°C
$2,085 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,096 Vol.
No
17°C
$6,665 Vol.
No
18°C
$8,235 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$7,656 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,926 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,218 Vol.
No
22°C
$602 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$456 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions over Moscow have produced a verified daily maximum surface air temperature of 18°C, as measured by official meteorological stations and consistent with model consensus from agencies tracking regional synoptic patterns. This outcome reflects cooler-than-average August advection of maritime air masses, suppressing typical seasonal highs near 22°C. The market's near-certain positioning on 18°C stems from real-time observational data and the proximity to day's end, leaving minimal scope for further warming. Only an unforecast late-day surge or measurement revision could alter resolution, though current stability in pressure and wind fields makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$37,002End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions over Moscow have produced a verified daily maximum surface air temperature of 18°C, as measured by official meteorological stations and consistent with model consensus from agencies tracking regional synoptic patterns. This outcome reflects cooler-than-average August advection of maritime air masses, suppressing typical seasonal highs near 22°C. The market's near-certain positioning on 18°C stems from real-time observational data and the proximity to day's end, leaving minimal scope for further warming. Only an unforecast late-day surge or measurement revision could alter resolution, though current stability in pressure and wind fields makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,002End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Current atmospheric conditions over Moscow have produced a verified daily maximum surface air temperature of 18°C, as measured by official meteorological stations and consistent with model consensus from agencies tracking regional synoptic patterns. This outcome reflects cooler-than-average August advection of maritime air masses, suppressing typical seasonal highs near 22°C. The market's near-certain positioning on 18°C stems from real-time observational data and the proximity to day's end, leaving minimal scope for further warming. Only an unforecast late-day surge or measurement revision could alter resolution, though current stability in pressure and wind fields makes such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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