Official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 92-93°F on August 14, locking in the market-implied outcome at full consensus. This aligns with National Weather Service data showing limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity, and a sea breeze that capped afternoon temperatures below the seasonal average of 96°F. Traders weighed real-time station reports against ensemble model guidance, which had earlier projected slightly higher values before afternoon observations confirmed the lower peak. The outcome could shift only if post-event quality-control revisions or alternate station data alter the official reading, though such adjustments remain rare for this site.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 14?
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$29,183 Vol.
$29,183 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$29,183 Vol.
$29,183 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
81°F or below
$167 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$720 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$162 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$500 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$1,281 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$4,046 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$11,530 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$7,180 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$1,771 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$552 Vol.
No
100°F or higher
$1,276 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 92-93°F on August 14, locking in the market-implied outcome at full consensus. This aligns with National Weather Service data showing limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity, and a sea breeze that capped afternoon temperatures below the seasonal average of 96°F. Traders weighed real-time station reports against ensemble model guidance, which had earlier projected slightly higher values before afternoon observations confirmed the lower peak. The outcome could shift only if post-event quality-control revisions or alternate station data alter the official reading, though such adjustments remain rare for this site.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$29,183End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 92-93°F on August 14, locking in the market-implied outcome at full consensus. This aligns with National Weather Service data showing limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity, and a sea breeze that capped afternoon temperatures below the seasonal average of 96°F. Traders weighed real-time station reports against ensemble model guidance, which had earlier projected slightly higher values before afternoon observations confirmed the lower peak. The outcome could shift only if post-event quality-control revisions or alternate station data alter the official reading, though such adjustments remain rare for this site.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,183End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 92-93°F on August 14, locking in the market-implied outcome at full consensus. This aligns with National Weather Service data showing limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity, and a sea breeze that capped afternoon temperatures below the seasonal average of 96°F. Traders weighed real-time station reports against ensemble model guidance, which had earlier projected slightly higher values before afternoon observations confirmed the lower peak. The outcome could shift only if post-event quality-control revisions or alternate station data alter the official reading, though such adjustments remain rare for this site.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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