Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 14 project a daytime high of 36°C under partly cloudy skies with afternoon showers, aligning with the market's leading 36°C outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Mid-August climatology features typical highs near 32–34°C, but persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Taipei basin have supported recent readings around 35–36°C. High humidity elevates apparent temperatures above 40°C, while scattered convection may limit further warming. Model consensus from regional guidance favors the 35–37°C band, with lower odds for extremes reflecting low typhoon or frontal influence through the 24-hour window. Updated CWA briefings and real-time observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 14?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 14?
36°C 49%
35°C 27%
37°C 20%
34°C 5%
NEW
$13,223 Vol.
NEW
$13,223 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
5%
35°C
27%
36°C
49%
37°C
20%
38°C or higher
1%
36°C 49%
35°C 27%
37°C 20%
34°C 5%
NEW
$13,223 Vol.
NEW
$13,223 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
28°C or below
$549 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$524 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$466 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$292 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,512 Vol.
1%
33°C
$2,175 Vol.
2%
34°C
$732 Vol.
5%
35°C
$1,824 Vol.
27%
36°C
$1,982 Vol.
49%
37°C
$2,136 Vol.
20%
38°C or higher
$1,032 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 14 project a daytime high of 36°C under partly cloudy skies with afternoon showers, aligning with the market's leading 36°C outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Mid-August climatology features typical highs near 32–34°C, but persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Taipei basin have supported recent readings around 35–36°C. High humidity elevates apparent temperatures above 40°C, while scattered convection may limit further warming. Model consensus from regional guidance favors the 35–37°C band, with lower odds for extremes reflecting low typhoon or frontal influence through the 24-hour window. Updated CWA briefings and real-time observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$13,223End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 14 project a daytime high of 36°C under partly cloudy skies with afternoon showers, aligning with the market's leading 36°C outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Mid-August climatology features typical highs near 32–34°C, but persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Taipei basin have supported recent readings around 35–36°C. High humidity elevates apparent temperatures above 40°C, while scattered convection may limit further warming. Model consensus from regional guidance favors the 35–37°C band, with lower odds for extremes reflecting low typhoon or frontal influence through the 24-hour window. Updated CWA briefings and real-time observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,223End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 14 project a daytime high of 36°C under partly cloudy skies with afternoon showers, aligning with the market's leading 36°C outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Mid-August climatology features typical highs near 32–34°C, but persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Taipei basin have supported recent readings around 35–36°C. High humidity elevates apparent temperatures above 40°C, while scattered convection may limit further warming. Model consensus from regional guidance favors the 35–37°C band, with lower odds for extremes reflecting low typhoon or frontal influence through the 24-hour window. Updated CWA briefings and real-time observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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