The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 14?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 14?
74-75°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$13,380 Vol.
$13,380 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
74-75°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$13,380 Vol.
$13,380 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
63°F or below
$301 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$321 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$704 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$2,226 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$1,487 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,916 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,733 Vol.
Yes
76-77°F
$1,498 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$738 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$758 Vol.
No
82°F or higher
$698 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$13,380End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,380End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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