Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Riku Dining Group IPO before June 2026 (89.5% implied probability), driven by stalled progress since the company's March 16, 2026, F-1 filing that upsized its Nasdaq offering to 5 million Class A shares at $4–$6, targeting $25–$30 million in proceeds. Despite initial calendars projecting a May 15 listing, the absence of SEC effectiveness, roadshow announcements, or pricing updates over the past month—amid a quiet filing period and broader IPO market caution—has eroded expectations for near-term completion. Low probabilities on market cap ranges (e.g., 110M–130M at 3.5%) reflect uncertainty around fully diluted valuation and execution risks, with any surprise pricing announcement serving as the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo IPO before June 2026 90%
110M–130M 3.1%
90M–110M 2.5%
130M–150M 1.6%
NEW
NEW
May 27, 2026
<90M
1%
90M–110M
3%
110M–130M
3%
130M–150M
2%
150M+
1%
No IPO before June 2026
90%
No IPO before June 2026 90%
110M–130M 3.1%
90M–110M 2.5%
130M–150M 1.6%
NEW
NEW
May 27, 2026
<90M
$1,753 Vol.
1%
90M–110M
$336 Vol.
3%
110M–130M
$312 Vol.
3%
130M–150M
$684 Vol.
2%
150M+
$815 Vol.
1%
No IPO before June 2026
$5,994 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve based on Riku Dining Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Riku Dining Group IPO before June 2026 (89.5% implied probability), driven by stalled progress since the company's March 16, 2026, F-1 filing that upsized its Nasdaq offering to 5 million Class A shares at $4–$6, targeting $25–$30 million in proceeds. Despite initial calendars projecting a May 15 listing, the absence of SEC effectiveness, roadshow announcements, or pricing updates over the past month—amid a quiet filing period and broader IPO market caution—has eroded expectations for near-term completion. Low probabilities on market cap ranges (e.g., 110M–130M at 3.5%) reflect uncertainty around fully diluted valuation and execution risks, with any surprise pricing announcement serving as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Riku Dining Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Volume
$9,894End Date
May 27, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Riku Dining Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Riku Dining Group IPO before June 2026 (89.5% implied probability), driven by stalled progress since the company's March 16, 2026, F-1 filing that upsized its Nasdaq offering to 5 million Class A shares at $4–$6, targeting $25–$30 million in proceeds. Despite initial calendars projecting a May 15 listing, the absence of SEC effectiveness, roadshow announcements, or pricing updates over the past month—amid a quiet filing period and broader IPO market caution—has eroded expectations for near-term completion. Low probabilities on market cap ranges (e.g., 110M–130M at 3.5%) reflect uncertainty around fully diluted valuation and execution risks, with any surprise pricing announcement serving as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Riku Dining Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$9,894End Date
May 27, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Riku Dining Group IPO before June 2026 (89.5% implied probability), driven by stalled progress since the company's March 16, 2026, F-1 filing that upsized its Nasdaq offering to 5 million Class A shares at $4–$6, targeting $25–$30 million in proceeds. Despite initial calendars projecting a May 15 listing, the absence of SEC effectiveness, roadshow announcements, or pricing updates over the past month—amid a quiet filing period and broader IPO market caution—has eroded expectations for near-term completion. Low probabilities on market cap ranges (e.g., 110M–130M at 3.5%) reflect uncertainty around fully diluted valuation and execution risks, with any surprise pricing announcement serving as the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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