Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a June SpaceX IPO at 67% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, which sources indicate targets an early June roadshow starting the week of June 8 and a late-June listing at a $1.75–$2 trillion valuation. This positions June as the clear leader, with August at 21% reflecting potential slippage amid typical SEC review timelines of 6–8 weeks and volatile equity markets. Recent revenue projections of $22–24 billion in 2026, fueled by Starlink growth, bolster fundamentals, while Elon Musk and insiders' super-voting shares ensure post-IPO control. Key catalysts include roadshow execution and any SEC feedback, though historical precedents show IPO dates can shift on market conditions or regulatory hurdles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJune 67%
August 21.9%
July 9.3%
No IPO before 2027 5.3%
$335,339 Vol.
$335,339 Vol.
May
2%
June
67%
July
9%
August
22%
September
3%
October
<1%
November
1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
5%
June 67%
August 21.9%
July 9.3%
No IPO before 2027 5.3%
$335,339 Vol.
$335,339 Vol.
May
2%
June
67%
July
9%
August
22%
September
3%
October
<1%
November
1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
5%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a June SpaceX IPO at 67% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, which sources indicate targets an early June roadshow starting the week of June 8 and a late-June listing at a $1.75–$2 trillion valuation. This positions June as the clear leader, with August at 21% reflecting potential slippage amid typical SEC review timelines of 6–8 weeks and volatile equity markets. Recent revenue projections of $22–24 billion in 2026, fueled by Starlink growth, bolster fundamentals, while Elon Musk and insiders' super-voting shares ensure post-IPO control. Key catalysts include roadshow execution and any SEC feedback, though historical precedents show IPO dates can shift on market conditions or regulatory hurdles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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