Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7, released in mid-April 2026, scores 43.8% on the FrontierMath benchmark as of May 13—trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro at 52.4% and highlighting persistent gaps in advanced mathematical reasoning on this test of research-level problems across Tiers 1-4. Traders weigh Anthropic's rapid iteration cadence, with models like Opus 4.6 (February) and 4.7 boosting coding prowess on SWE-bench Verified to 82.4%, but math capabilities lagging amid competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT-5.x dominance. Upcoming catalysts include potential Opus 4.8 or Mythos Preview releases before June 30, though evaluation variances (e.g., adaptive reasoning modes) and scaling uncertainties temper expectations for threshold-breaking progress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$61,931 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
50%+
54%
$61,931 Vol.
50%+
$14,897 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7, released in mid-April 2026, scores 43.8% on the FrontierMath benchmark as of May 13—trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro at 52.4% and highlighting persistent gaps in advanced mathematical reasoning on this test of research-level problems across Tiers 1-4. Traders weigh Anthropic's rapid iteration cadence, with models like Opus 4.6 (February) and 4.7 boosting coding prowess on SWE-bench Verified to 82.4%, but math capabilities lagging amid competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT-5.x dominance. Upcoming catalysts include potential Opus 4.8 or Mythos Preview releases before June 30, though evaluation variances (e.g., adaptive reasoning modes) and scaling uncertainties temper expectations for threshold-breaking progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$61,931End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7, released in mid-April 2026, scores 43.8% on the FrontierMath benchmark as of May 13—trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro at 52.4% and highlighting persistent gaps in advanced mathematical reasoning on this test of research-level problems across Tiers 1-4. Traders weigh Anthropic's rapid iteration cadence, with models like Opus 4.6 (February) and 4.7 boosting coding prowess on SWE-bench Verified to 82.4%, but math capabilities lagging amid competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT-5.x dominance. Upcoming catalysts include potential Opus 4.8 or Mythos Preview releases before June 30, though evaluation variances (e.g., adaptive reasoning modes) and scaling uncertainties temper expectations for threshold-breaking progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$61,931End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7, released in mid-April 2026, scores 43.8% on the FrontierMath benchmark as of May 13—trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro at 52.4% and highlighting persistent gaps in advanced mathematical reasoning on this test of research-level problems across Tiers 1-4. Traders weigh Anthropic's rapid iteration cadence, with models like Opus 4.6 (February) and 4.7 boosting coding prowess on SWE-bench Verified to 82.4%, but math capabilities lagging amid competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT-5.x dominance. Upcoming catalysts include potential Opus 4.8 or Mythos Preview releases before June 30, though evaluation variances (e.g., adaptive reasoning modes) and scaling uncertainties temper expectations for threshold-breaking progress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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