The 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial race remains wide open more than nine months before the June 6 vote, with trader prices reflecting a fragmented field anchored by PAN figures Leonardo Montañez Castro and Antonio Martín del Campo alongside Morena-PT-PVEM aspirant Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez. Aguascalientes has long been a PAN stronghold—the only state lost by the ruling coalition in 2024—yet internal party surveys through mid-2026 show PAN candidates holding modest leads over Morena options in head-to-head matchups. Party registration drives, ongoing preference polling, and the absence of finalized nominations keep probabilities tightly clustered, as small shifts in internal support or national momentum could quickly alter positioning. Scheduled party conventions and early 2027 campaign launches represent the next catalysts likely to widen gaps among contenders.