Recent releases have kept the AI model leaderboard fluid heading into mid-June, with Claude Opus 4.8’s late-May launch delivering incremental gains in coding, agentic workflows, and consistency that pushed it ahead on several benchmarks while GPT-5.5 and Gemini 3.1 Pro remain competitive on reasoning and multimodal tasks. Traders price “Other” at 62.9% because no single listed variant commands overwhelming consensus, reflecting ongoing parity across frontier labs and the likelihood that an unlisted model or updated configuration will top aggregated leaderboards on June 13. The 37.6% on claude-opus-4-6-thinking captures lingering strength from its established performance in tool-use and long-horizon tasks, yet newer iterations and cross-model comparisons continue to fragment sentiment. With resolution only days away, any fresh benchmark drops or capability demonstrations could still shift the tight margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअन्य 62.9%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 37.5%
claude-opus-4-6 <1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking <1%
$25,514 वॉल्यूम
$25,514 वॉल्यूम
13 जून, 2026
अन्य
63%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
38%
claude-opus-4-6
<1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
<1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
<1%
gemini-3.5-flash
<1%
अन्य 62.9%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 37.5%
claude-opus-4-6 <1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking <1%
$25,514 वॉल्यूम
$25,514 वॉल्यूम
13 जून, 2026
अन्य
$10,730 वॉल्यूम
63%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
$7,854 वॉल्यूम
38%
claude-opus-4-6
$4,033 वॉल्यूम
<1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
$1,814 वॉल्यूम
<1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
$1,090 वॉल्यूम
<1%
gemini-3.5-flash
$858 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent releases have kept the AI model leaderboard fluid heading into mid-June, with Claude Opus 4.8’s late-May launch delivering incremental gains in coding, agentic workflows, and consistency that pushed it ahead on several benchmarks while GPT-5.5 and Gemini 3.1 Pro remain competitive on reasoning and multimodal tasks. Traders price “Other” at 62.9% because no single listed variant commands overwhelming consensus, reflecting ongoing parity across frontier labs and the likelihood that an unlisted model or updated configuration will top aggregated leaderboards on June 13. The 37.6% on claude-opus-4-6-thinking captures lingering strength from its established performance in tool-use and long-horizon tasks, yet newer iterations and cross-model comparisons continue to fragment sentiment. With resolution only days away, any fresh benchmark drops or capability demonstrations could still shift the tight margin.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 5, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,514समाप्ति तिथि
13 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 5, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent releases have kept the AI model leaderboard fluid heading into mid-June, with Claude Opus 4.8’s late-May launch delivering incremental gains in coding, agentic workflows, and consistency that pushed it ahead on several benchmarks while GPT-5.5 and Gemini 3.1 Pro remain competitive on reasoning and multimodal tasks. Traders price “Other” at 62.9% because no single listed variant commands overwhelming consensus, reflecting ongoing parity across frontier labs and the likelihood that an unlisted model or updated configuration will top aggregated leaderboards on June 13. The 37.6% on claude-opus-4-6-thinking captures lingering strength from its established performance in tool-use and long-horizon tasks, yet newer iterations and cross-model comparisons continue to fragment sentiment. With resolution only days away, any fresh benchmark drops or capability demonstrations could still shift the tight margin.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$25,514समाप्ति तिथि
13 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 5, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent releases have kept the AI model leaderboard fluid heading into mid-June, with Claude Opus 4.8’s late-May launch delivering incremental gains in coding, agentic workflows, and consistency that pushed it ahead on several benchmarks while GPT-5.5 and Gemini 3.1 Pro remain competitive on reasoning and multimodal tasks. Traders price “Other” at 62.9% because no single listed variant commands overwhelming consensus, reflecting ongoing parity across frontier labs and the likelihood that an unlisted model or updated configuration will top aggregated leaderboards on June 13. The 37.6% on claude-opus-4-6-thinking captures lingering strength from its established performance in tool-use and long-horizon tasks, yet newer iterations and cross-model comparisons continue to fragment sentiment. With resolution only days away, any fresh benchmark drops or capability demonstrations could still shift the tight margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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