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icon for CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता

CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता

icon for CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता

CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता

$30,145 वॉल्यूम

2 जून, 2026
Polymarket

$30,145 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

माइक थॉम्पसन

$7,192 वॉल्यूम

97%

एरिक जोन्स

$4,925 वॉल्यूम

90%

हीथ फुल्करसन

$396 वॉल्यूम

11%

जॉन वेस्ली टायलर

$894 वॉल्यूम

8%

ट्रेवर मेर्रेल

$9,903 वॉल्यूम

7%

लॉरी मैकेंज़ी

$710 वॉल्यूम

5%

शेरोन ब्राउन

$3,429 वॉल्यूम

2%

मंडी घुसार

$2,695 वॉल्यूम

<1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Mike Thompson seeks his 15th term in California's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat redrawn after the 2020 census and further adjusted for 2026, where he faces a primary challenge from Eric Jones, a venture capitalist and nonprofit executive who has raised significant funds and secured endorsements from progressive groups. The June 2 top-two primary features a crowded field that includes multiple Republican candidates such as Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, along with other Democrats and an independent, raising the possibility of vote splitting that could determine which two candidates advance to the general election. Thompson's long tenure, moderate record, and established campaign infrastructure position him as the frontrunner, while Jones's financial edge and mobilization efforts among younger voters create the main point of competition in the coming weeks.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$30,145
समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Mike Thompson seeks his 15th term in California's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat redrawn after the 2020 census and further adjusted for 2026, where he faces a primary challenge from Eric Jones, a venture capitalist and nonprofit executive who has raised significant funds and secured endorsements from progressive groups. The June 2 top-two primary features a crowded field that includes multiple Republican candidates such as Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, along with other Democrats and an independent, raising the possibility of vote splitting that could determine which two candidates advance to the general election. Thompson's long tenure, moderate record, and established campaign infrastructure position him as the frontrunner, while Jones's financial edge and mobilization efforts among younger voters create the main point of competition in the coming weeks.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$30,145
समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" Polymarket पर 8 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, माइक थॉम्पसन 97% (97¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद एरिक जोन्स 90% पर है।

आज तक, "CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" ने कुल $30.1K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Feb 26, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 8 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "माइक थॉम्पसन" 97% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "एरिक जोन्स" 90% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।