Florida's 23rd congressional district was redrawn under the 2026 map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, producing a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and prompting multiple forecasters to rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel filed to run in the new boundaries, facing a Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, while Republicans field multiple lesser-known candidates without comparable fundraising or name recognition. Traders have priced in these structural advantages, assigning the Democratic Party a 91.5 percent implied probability. A late primary upset, major personal scandal, or unanticipated national political shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's composition and limited Republican infrastructure.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFL-23 House Election Winner
FL-23 House Election Winner
$15,162 वॉल्यूम
$15,162 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
$15,162 वॉल्यूम
$15,162 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,500 वॉल्यूम
92%
Republican Party
$4,662 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 23rd congressional district was redrawn under the 2026 map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, producing a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and prompting multiple forecasters to rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel filed to run in the new boundaries, facing a Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, while Republicans field multiple lesser-known candidates without comparable fundraising or name recognition. Traders have priced in these structural advantages, assigning the Democratic Party a 91.5 percent implied probability. A late primary upset, major personal scandal, or unanticipated national political shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's composition and limited Republican infrastructure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,162समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 23rd congressional district was redrawn under the 2026 map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, producing a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and prompting multiple forecasters to rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel filed to run in the new boundaries, facing a Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, while Republicans field multiple lesser-known candidates without comparable fundraising or name recognition. Traders have priced in these structural advantages, assigning the Democratic Party a 91.5 percent implied probability. A late primary upset, major personal scandal, or unanticipated national political shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's composition and limited Republican infrastructure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$15,162समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 23rd congressional district was redrawn under the 2026 map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, producing a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and prompting multiple forecasters to rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel filed to run in the new boundaries, facing a Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, while Republicans field multiple lesser-known candidates without comparable fundraising or name recognition. Traders have priced in these structural advantages, assigning the Democratic Party a 91.5 percent implied probability. A late primary upset, major personal scandal, or unanticipated national political shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's composition and limited Republican infrastructure.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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