Florida's 28th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in forecaster ratings of Solid Republican or Safe Republican and the incumbent's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 14 points. Carlos Giménez, the sitting Republican representative, advanced automatically after the August 18 primary was canceled, facing Democrat Phil Ehr and an independent in the November 3 general election. The district's partisan voter index, recent presidential results favoring Republicans by roughly 6 points, and limited competitive polling sustain trader consensus around a 94-95% probability of a Republican victory. Structural advantages such as incumbency and fundraising further reinforce positioning, though late-cycle developments including turnout shifts in Miami-area and Keys precincts or unforeseen national dynamics could narrow margins in this otherwise stable contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFL-28 House Election Winner
FL-28 House Election Winner
$57,344 वॉल्यूम
$57,344 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$57,344 वॉल्यूम
$57,344 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$33,614 वॉल्यूम
95%
Democratic Party
$23,731 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in forecaster ratings of Solid Republican or Safe Republican and the incumbent's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 14 points. Carlos Giménez, the sitting Republican representative, advanced automatically after the August 18 primary was canceled, facing Democrat Phil Ehr and an independent in the November 3 general election. The district's partisan voter index, recent presidential results favoring Republicans by roughly 6 points, and limited competitive polling sustain trader consensus around a 94-95% probability of a Republican victory. Structural advantages such as incumbency and fundraising further reinforce positioning, though late-cycle developments including turnout shifts in Miami-area and Keys precincts or unforeseen national dynamics could narrow margins in this otherwise stable contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$57,344समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in forecaster ratings of Solid Republican or Safe Republican and the incumbent's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 14 points. Carlos Giménez, the sitting Republican representative, advanced automatically after the August 18 primary was canceled, facing Democrat Phil Ehr and an independent in the November 3 general election. The district's partisan voter index, recent presidential results favoring Republicans by roughly 6 points, and limited competitive polling sustain trader consensus around a 94-95% probability of a Republican victory. Structural advantages such as incumbency and fundraising further reinforce positioning, though late-cycle developments including turnout shifts in Miami-area and Keys precincts or unforeseen national dynamics could narrow margins in this otherwise stable contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$57,344समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 28th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in forecaster ratings of Solid Republican or Safe Republican and the incumbent's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 14 points. Carlos Giménez, the sitting Republican representative, advanced automatically after the August 18 primary was canceled, facing Democrat Phil Ehr and an independent in the November 3 general election. The district's partisan voter index, recent presidential results favoring Republicans by roughly 6 points, and limited competitive polling sustain trader consensus around a 94-95% probability of a Republican victory. Structural advantages such as incumbency and fundraising further reinforce positioning, though late-cycle developments including turnout shifts in Miami-area and Keys precincts or unforeseen national dynamics could narrow margins in this otherwise stable contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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