The Galway West by-election on 22 May fills the Dáil vacancy created by Catherine Connolly’s election as President. Trader consensus positions Independent Ireland councillor Noel Thomas at 46.5 percent, ahead of Fine Gael Senator Seán Kyne at 31.1 percent, with Labour’s Helen Ogbu, Social Democrats’ Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich and several independents trailing. An early-May Irish Times/TG4 poll showed Kyne and Thomas nearly tied on first preferences, while the left-leaning vote remains split across multiple candidates. Recent RTE debates and canvassing have focused on cost-of-living pressures, fuel costs and immigration, issues that could influence transfers on count day. The outcome hinges on how local name recognition, party machinery and second-preference flows from smaller parties shape the final result.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयागैलवे - वेस्ट उप - चुनाव विजेता?
गैलवे - वेस्ट उप - चुनाव विजेता?
नोल थॉमस 58%
सीन काइने 30.0%
मीधे निक फिनलाओइच 9.3%
माइक कबर्ड 9.2%
$47,345 वॉल्यूम
$47,345 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2027
शीला गैरिटी
1%
सीन काइने
20%
नियाल मर्फी
<1%
मीधे निक फिनलाओइच
9%
ऑर्ला न्यूजेंट
<1%
हेलेन ओग्बु
4%
डेनमैन रूके
1%
नोल थॉमस
58%
थॉमस वेल्बी
<1%
माइक कबर्ड
9%
मार्क लोहन
4%
नोल थॉमस 58%
सीन काइने 30.0%
मीधे निक फिनलाओइच 9.3%
माइक कबर्ड 9.2%
$47,345 वॉल्यूम
$47,345 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2027
शीला गैरिटी
$20,246 वॉल्यूम
1%
सीन काइने
$4,701 वॉल्यूम
20%
नियाल मर्फी
$1,834 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मीधे निक फिनलाओइच
$1,654 वॉल्यूम
9%
ऑर्ला न्यूजेंट
$1,680 वॉल्यूम
<1%
हेलेन ओग्बु
$3,933 वॉल्यूम
4%
डेनमैन रूके
$1,612 वॉल्यूम
1%
नोल थॉमस
$5,057 वॉल्यूम
58%
थॉमस वेल्बी
$1,697 वॉल्यूम
<1%
माइक कबर्ड
$2,421 वॉल्यूम
9%
मार्क लोहन
$2,509 वॉल्यूम
4%
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).The Galway West by-election on 22 May fills the Dáil vacancy created by Catherine Connolly’s election as President. Trader consensus positions Independent Ireland councillor Noel Thomas at 46.5 percent, ahead of Fine Gael Senator Seán Kyne at 31.1 percent, with Labour’s Helen Ogbu, Social Democrats’ Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich and several independents trailing. An early-May Irish Times/TG4 poll showed Kyne and Thomas nearly tied on first preferences, while the left-leaning vote remains split across multiple candidates. Recent RTE debates and canvassing have focused on cost-of-living pressures, fuel costs and immigration, issues that could influence transfers on count day. The outcome hinges on how local name recognition, party machinery and second-preference flows from smaller parties shape the final result.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$47,345समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).The Galway West by-election on 22 May fills the Dáil vacancy created by Catherine Connolly’s election as President. Trader consensus positions Independent Ireland councillor Noel Thomas at 46.5 percent, ahead of Fine Gael Senator Seán Kyne at 31.1 percent, with Labour’s Helen Ogbu, Social Democrats’ Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich and several independents trailing. An early-May Irish Times/TG4 poll showed Kyne and Thomas nearly tied on first preferences, while the left-leaning vote remains split across multiple candidates. Recent RTE debates and canvassing have focused on cost-of-living pressures, fuel costs and immigration, issues that could influence transfers on count day. The outcome hinges on how local name recognition, party machinery and second-preference flows from smaller parties shape the final result.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
वॉल्यूम
$47,345समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Galway West by-election on 22 May fills the Dáil vacancy created by Catherine Connolly’s election as President. Trader consensus positions Independent Ireland councillor Noel Thomas at 46.5 percent, ahead of Fine Gael Senator Seán Kyne at 31.1 percent, with Labour’s Helen Ogbu, Social Democrats’ Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich and several independents trailing. An early-May Irish Times/TG4 poll showed Kyne and Thomas nearly tied on first preferences, while the left-leaning vote remains split across multiple candidates. Recent RTE debates and canvassing have focused on cost-of-living pressures, fuel costs and immigration, issues that could influence transfers on count day. The outcome hinges on how local name recognition, party machinery and second-preference flows from smaller parties shape the final result.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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