Recent polling and candidate profiles position Independent Ireland’s Noel Thomas as the frontrunner in the Galway West by-election, with Fine Gael’s Seán Kyne close behind on first preferences amid a fragmented field of 17 contenders. Thomas has gained traction through emphasis on immigration and cost-of-living concerns, while Kyne draws on his prior Dáil experience and strong second-preference flows in the Irish Times/TG4 survey. Labour’s Helen Ogbu leads the scattered left vote, and smaller parties such as Sinn Féin, Social Democrats, and Fianna Fáil trail. With voting scheduled for 22 May, traders reflect the competitive dynamics and the potential for late transfers to decide the outcome in this single-seat contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयागैलवे - वेस्ट उप - चुनाव विजेता?
गैलवे - वेस्ट उप - चुनाव विजेता?
नोल थॉमस 42%
सीन काइने 31.1%
मीधे निक फिनलाओइच 9.7%
माइक कबर्ड 9.1%
$47,329 वॉल्यूम
$47,329 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2027
शीला गैरिटी
1%
सीन काइने
31%
नियाल मर्फी
<1%
मीधे निक फिनलाओइच
10%
ऑर्ला न्यूजेंट
1%
हेलेन ओग्बु
3%
डेनमैन रूके
1%
नोल थॉमस
47%
थॉमस वेल्बी
<1%
माइक कबर्ड
10%
मार्क लोहन
4%
नोल थॉमस 42%
सीन काइने 31.1%
मीधे निक फिनलाओइच 9.7%
माइक कबर्ड 9.1%
$47,329 वॉल्यूम
$47,329 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2027
शीला गैरिटी
$20,246 वॉल्यूम
1%
सीन काइने
$4,700 वॉल्यूम
31%
नियाल मर्फी
$1,834 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मीधे निक फिनलाओइच
$1,646 वॉल्यूम
10%
ऑर्ला न्यूजेंट
$1,680 वॉल्यूम
1%
हेलेन ओग्बु
$3,933 वॉल्यूम
3%
डेनमैन रूके
$1,612 वॉल्यूम
1%
नोल थॉमस
$5,057 वॉल्यूम
47%
थॉमस वेल्बी
$1,697 वॉल्यूम
<1%
माइक कबर्ड
$2,416 वॉल्यूम
10%
मार्क लोहन
$2,509 वॉल्यूम
4%
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Recent polling and candidate profiles position Independent Ireland’s Noel Thomas as the frontrunner in the Galway West by-election, with Fine Gael’s Seán Kyne close behind on first preferences amid a fragmented field of 17 contenders. Thomas has gained traction through emphasis on immigration and cost-of-living concerns, while Kyne draws on his prior Dáil experience and strong second-preference flows in the Irish Times/TG4 survey. Labour’s Helen Ogbu leads the scattered left vote, and smaller parties such as Sinn Féin, Social Democrats, and Fianna Fáil trail. With voting scheduled for 22 May, traders reflect the competitive dynamics and the potential for late transfers to decide the outcome in this single-seat contest.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$47,329समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Recent polling and candidate profiles position Independent Ireland’s Noel Thomas as the frontrunner in the Galway West by-election, with Fine Gael’s Seán Kyne close behind on first preferences amid a fragmented field of 17 contenders. Thomas has gained traction through emphasis on immigration and cost-of-living concerns, while Kyne draws on his prior Dáil experience and strong second-preference flows in the Irish Times/TG4 survey. Labour’s Helen Ogbu leads the scattered left vote, and smaller parties such as Sinn Féin, Social Democrats, and Fianna Fáil trail. With voting scheduled for 22 May, traders reflect the competitive dynamics and the potential for late transfers to decide the outcome in this single-seat contest.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
वॉल्यूम
$47,329समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and candidate profiles position Independent Ireland’s Noel Thomas as the frontrunner in the Galway West by-election, with Fine Gael’s Seán Kyne close behind on first preferences amid a fragmented field of 17 contenders. Thomas has gained traction through emphasis on immigration and cost-of-living concerns, while Kyne draws on his prior Dáil experience and strong second-preference flows in the Irish Times/TG4 survey. Labour’s Helen Ogbu leads the scattered left vote, and smaller parties such as Sinn Féin, Social Democrats, and Fianna Fáil trail. With voting scheduled for 22 May, traders reflect the competitive dynamics and the potential for late transfers to decide the outcome in this single-seat contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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