Official observations from Argentine meteorological agencies, including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, confirm a maximum temperature of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Early August Southern Hemisphere winter conditions—marked by reduced solar insolation, prevailing westerly flows, and typical climatological highs of 15–17°C—produced stable atmospheric patterns with no notable warm-air advection or cloud-cover anomalies to push readings higher. Model consensus clustered tightly around this threshold, and traders weighted verified station data heavily. A post-event revision to the official daily maximum remains the only realistic scenario that could alter resolution, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को ब्यूनस आयर्स में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
16°C 100.0%
$47,891 वॉल्यूम
$47,891 वॉल्यूम
16°C
100%
16°C 100.0%
$47,891 वॉल्यूम
$47,891 वॉल्यूम
16°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Argentine meteorological agencies, including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, confirm a maximum temperature of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Early August Southern Hemisphere winter conditions—marked by reduced solar insolation, prevailing westerly flows, and typical climatological highs of 15–17°C—produced stable atmospheric patterns with no notable warm-air advection or cloud-cover anomalies to push readings higher. Model consensus clustered tightly around this threshold, and traders weighted verified station data heavily. A post-event revision to the official daily maximum remains the only realistic scenario that could alter resolution, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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