Recent official forecasts and model consensus from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a high near 18–20°C for Cape Town on September 4, driven by a cut-off low system delivering strong southeasterly winds and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions favor the closely matched market leaders at 19°C (35.5%) and 20°C (34%), as winds enhance mixing while suppressing full solar warming compared to clearer analogs. Minor model spreads in exact wind strength and clearing timing explain the balanced probabilities, with lower odds on 21°C+ reflecting the persistent cool advection. Updated SAWS briefings and next model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 सितंबर को केप टाउन में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
4 सितंबर को केप टाउन में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
19 डिग्री सेल्सियस 46%
20°C 34%
21°C 22%
22°C 15%
नया
नया
4 सित, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
12%
19 डिग्री सेल्सियस
46%
20°C
34%
21°C
22%
22°C
15%
23°C
7%
24°C या उससे अधिक
4%
19 डिग्री सेल्सियस 46%
20°C 34%
21°C 22%
22°C 15%
नया
नया
4 सित, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
$20 वॉल्यूम
1%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
16°C
$190 वॉल्यूम
4%
17°C
$37 वॉल्यूम
6%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
12%
19 डिग्री सेल्सियस
$1,161 वॉल्यूम
46%
20°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
34%
21°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
22°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
15%
23°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
24°C या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a high near 18–20°C for Cape Town on September 4, driven by a cut-off low system delivering strong southeasterly winds and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions favor the closely matched market leaders at 19°C (35.5%) and 20°C (34%), as winds enhance mixing while suppressing full solar warming compared to clearer analogs. Minor model spreads in exact wind strength and clearing timing explain the balanced probabilities, with lower odds on 21°C+ reflecting the persistent cool advection. Updated SAWS briefings and next model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,409समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a high near 18–20°C for Cape Town on September 4, driven by a cut-off low system delivering strong southeasterly winds and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions favor the closely matched market leaders at 19°C (35.5%) and 20°C (34%), as winds enhance mixing while suppressing full solar warming compared to clearer analogs. Minor model spreads in exact wind strength and clearing timing explain the balanced probabilities, with lower odds on 21°C+ reflecting the persistent cool advection. Updated SAWS briefings and next model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,409समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and model consensus from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a high near 18–20°C for Cape Town on September 4, driven by a cut-off low system delivering strong southeasterly winds and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions favor the closely matched market leaders at 19°C (35.5%) and 20°C (34%), as winds enhance mixing while suppressing full solar warming compared to clearer analogs. Minor model spreads in exact wind strength and clearing timing explain the balanced probabilities, with lower odds on 21°C+ reflecting the persistent cool advection. Updated SAWS briefings and next model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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