Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 26°C or 27°C peak in Mexico City on August 5, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance for a typical rainy-season day at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Afternoon convective storms and highland cooling usually cap daytime maxima near the 24°C August average, yet recent model runs and observed warmth on August 4 have lifted near-term forecasts into the mid- to upper-20s Celsius range. Market sentiment incorporates the narrow historical envelope—rarely exceeding 28°C in August—while acknowledging uncertainty from variable cloud cover, precipitation timing, and urban heat-island effects that could shift the official station reading by 1–2°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को मैक्सिको सिटी में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
26°C 49%
27°C 34%
28°C 11%
25°C 7%
23°C या उससे कम
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
49%
27°C
34%
28°C
11%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C या अधिक
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 34%
28°C 11%
25°C 7%
23°C या उससे कम
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
49%
27°C
34%
28°C
11%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 26°C or 27°C peak in Mexico City on August 5, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance for a typical rainy-season day at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Afternoon convective storms and highland cooling usually cap daytime maxima near the 24°C August average, yet recent model runs and observed warmth on August 4 have lifted near-term forecasts into the mid- to upper-20s Celsius range. Market sentiment incorporates the narrow historical envelope—rarely exceeding 28°C in August—while acknowledging uncertainty from variable cloud cover, precipitation timing, and urban heat-island effects that could shift the official station reading by 1–2°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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