Stable high-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil, combined with partly cloudy to sunny skies and minimal precipitation, represent the main driver positioning 30–32°C as the leading market outcomes for São Paulo’s August 18 maximum temperature. Official INMET guidance and ensemble numerical weather models consistently indicate daytime highs near 29–31°C under these conditions, typical of the region’s dry winter season when subtropical air masses allow modest warming above long-term August averages of 23–27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 31°C and combined ~87% likelihood for 29–32°C, incorporates this model agreement while accounting for minor ensemble spread and potential last-minute observational adjustments before resolution. Updated forecast runs and satellite monitoring of steering patterns remain key near-term variables.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 अगस्त को साओ पाउलो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 अगस्त को साओ पाउलो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 44%
30°C 28%
32°C 16%
29°C 10%
नया
नया
18 अग, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
28%
31°C
44%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 44%
30°C 28%
32°C 16%
29°C 10%
नया
नया
18 अग, 2026
24°C or below
$35 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C
$35 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C
$52 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$106 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$104 वॉल्यूम
4%
29°C
$271 वॉल्यूम
10%
30°C
$579 वॉल्यूम
28%
31°C
$736 वॉल्यूम
44%
32°C
$80 वॉल्यूम
16%
33°C
$165 वॉल्यूम
3%
34°C or higher
$55 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil, combined with partly cloudy to sunny skies and minimal precipitation, represent the main driver positioning 30–32°C as the leading market outcomes for São Paulo’s August 18 maximum temperature. Official INMET guidance and ensemble numerical weather models consistently indicate daytime highs near 29–31°C under these conditions, typical of the region’s dry winter season when subtropical air masses allow modest warming above long-term August averages of 23–27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 31°C and combined ~87% likelihood for 29–32°C, incorporates this model agreement while accounting for minor ensemble spread and potential last-minute observational adjustments before resolution. Updated forecast runs and satellite monitoring of steering patterns remain key near-term variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,220समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil, combined with partly cloudy to sunny skies and minimal precipitation, represent the main driver positioning 30–32°C as the leading market outcomes for São Paulo’s August 18 maximum temperature. Official INMET guidance and ensemble numerical weather models consistently indicate daytime highs near 29–31°C under these conditions, typical of the region’s dry winter season when subtropical air masses allow modest warming above long-term August averages of 23–27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 31°C and combined ~87% likelihood for 29–32°C, incorporates this model agreement while accounting for minor ensemble spread and potential last-minute observational adjustments before resolution. Updated forecast runs and satellite monitoring of steering patterns remain key near-term variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,220समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil, combined with partly cloudy to sunny skies and minimal precipitation, represent the main driver positioning 30–32°C as the leading market outcomes for São Paulo’s August 18 maximum temperature. Official INMET guidance and ensemble numerical weather models consistently indicate daytime highs near 29–31°C under these conditions, typical of the region’s dry winter season when subtropical air masses allow modest warming above long-term August averages of 23–27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 31°C and combined ~87% likelihood for 29–32°C, incorporates this model agreement while accounting for minor ensemble spread and potential last-minute observational adjustments before resolution. Updated forecast runs and satellite monitoring of steering patterns remain key near-term variables.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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