Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the IL-12 race due to the district’s consistent R+22 partisan lean and his repeated strong performances, including a 74% margin in 2024. Both Bost and Democratic nominee Julie Fortier advanced through the March 2026 primaries with little opposition, leaving the general election matchup largely unchanged. The seat covers southern Illinois including Carbondale, Marion, and O’Fallon areas that have favored Republicans in recent cycles. Election forecasters rate the contest Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94% probability for the Republican Party. Factors that could narrow the margin or shift outcomes include a national Democratic surge, unusually high turnout in Democratic strongholds, or late-breaking developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIL-12 House Election Winner
IL-12 House Election Winner
$21,481 वॉल्यूम
$21,481 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
94%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
4%
$21,481 वॉल्यूम
$21,481 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$10,390 वॉल्यूम
94%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$11,092 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the IL-12 race due to the district’s consistent R+22 partisan lean and his repeated strong performances, including a 74% margin in 2024. Both Bost and Democratic nominee Julie Fortier advanced through the March 2026 primaries with little opposition, leaving the general election matchup largely unchanged. The seat covers southern Illinois including Carbondale, Marion, and O’Fallon areas that have favored Republicans in recent cycles. Election forecasters rate the contest Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94% probability for the Republican Party. Factors that could narrow the margin or shift outcomes include a national Democratic surge, unusually high turnout in Democratic strongholds, or late-breaking developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,481समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the IL-12 race due to the district’s consistent R+22 partisan lean and his repeated strong performances, including a 74% margin in 2024. Both Bost and Democratic nominee Julie Fortier advanced through the March 2026 primaries with little opposition, leaving the general election matchup largely unchanged. The seat covers southern Illinois including Carbondale, Marion, and O’Fallon areas that have favored Republicans in recent cycles. Election forecasters rate the contest Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94% probability for the Republican Party. Factors that could narrow the margin or shift outcomes include a national Democratic surge, unusually high turnout in Democratic strongholds, or late-breaking developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$21,481समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the IL-12 race due to the district’s consistent R+22 partisan lean and his repeated strong performances, including a 74% margin in 2024. Both Bost and Democratic nominee Julie Fortier advanced through the March 2026 primaries with little opposition, leaving the general election matchup largely unchanged. The seat covers southern Illinois including Carbondale, Marion, and O’Fallon areas that have favored Republicans in recent cycles. Election forecasters rate the contest Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94% probability for the Republican Party. Factors that could narrow the margin or shift outcomes include a national Democratic surge, unusually high turnout in Democratic strongholds, or late-breaking developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals.
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