Traders view the closely matched probabilities for fewer than five posts versus five to nine posts by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei from May 15 to 22 as reflecting established patterns of restrained public messaging from Iran's highest authority during periods without acute crises. Ongoing regional diplomacy, domestic economic measures, and standard institutional communications have produced no clear catalyst for elevated activity so far, sustaining tight contestation around these lower ranges. A sudden escalation in foreign policy tensions, high-level bilateral meetings, or domestic unrest could increase official statements and widen separation toward mid-range outcomes, while sustained stability would reinforce the current trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाKhamenei # posts 15 मई - 22 मई, 2026?
Khamenei # posts 15 मई - 22 मई, 2026?
55-59 41.0%
45-49 38.7%
50-54 38.6%
60+ 17.7%
नया
नया
22 मई, 2026
<5
47%
5-9
49%
10-14
22%
15-19
40%
20-24
40%
25-29
40%
30-34
36%
35-39
42%
40-44
4%
45-49
39%
50-54
39%
55-59
41%
60+
18%
55-59 41.0%
45-49 38.7%
50-54 38.6%
60+ 17.7%
नया
नया
22 मई, 2026
<5
$214 वॉल्यूम
47%
5-9
$62 वॉल्यूम
49%
10-14
$71 वॉल्यूम
22%
15-19
$44 वॉल्यूम
40%
20-24
$40 वॉल्यूम
40%
25-29
$40 वॉल्यूम
40%
30-34
$85 वॉल्यूम
36%
35-39
$61 वॉल्यूम
42%
40-44
$140 वॉल्यूम
4%
45-49
$70 वॉल्यूम
39%
50-54
$69 वॉल्यूम
39%
55-59
$55 वॉल्यूम
41%
60+
$123 वॉल्यूम
18%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view the closely matched probabilities for fewer than five posts versus five to nine posts by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei from May 15 to 22 as reflecting established patterns of restrained public messaging from Iran's highest authority during periods without acute crises. Ongoing regional diplomacy, domestic economic measures, and standard institutional communications have produced no clear catalyst for elevated activity so far, sustaining tight contestation around these lower ranges. A sudden escalation in foreign policy tensions, high-level bilateral meetings, or domestic unrest could increase official statements and widen separation toward mid-range outcomes, while sustained stability would reinforce the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,075समाप्ति तिथि
22 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view the closely matched probabilities for fewer than five posts versus five to nine posts by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei from May 15 to 22 as reflecting established patterns of restrained public messaging from Iran's highest authority during periods without acute crises. Ongoing regional diplomacy, domestic economic measures, and standard institutional communications have produced no clear catalyst for elevated activity so far, sustaining tight contestation around these lower ranges. A sudden escalation in foreign policy tensions, high-level bilateral meetings, or domestic unrest could increase official statements and widen separation toward mid-range outcomes, while sustained stability would reinforce the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$1,075समाप्ति तिथि
22 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the closely matched probabilities for fewer than five posts versus five to nine posts by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei from May 15 to 22 as reflecting established patterns of restrained public messaging from Iran's highest authority during periods without acute crises. Ongoing regional diplomacy, domestic economic measures, and standard institutional communications have produced no clear catalyst for elevated activity so far, sustaining tight contestation around these lower ranges. A sudden escalation in foreign policy tensions, high-level bilateral meetings, or domestic unrest could increase official statements and widen separation toward mid-range outcomes, while sustained stability would reinforce the current trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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