Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise's long tenure representing Louisiana's 1st Congressional District since 2008, combined with the seat's consistent partisan lean and his role as House Majority Leader, anchors the market's strong Republican consensus. Recent redistricting after the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais and the May 2026 map signing preserved the district's balance without creating new competitive openings. Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and Republican primary opponent Randall Arrington have generated limited momentum ahead of the November 3, 2026, jungle primary. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Potential shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance altering turnout in the primary and any subsequent runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLA -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
LA -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$49,108 वॉल्यूम
$49,108 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
94%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
6%
$49,108 वॉल्यूम
$49,108 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$21,178 वॉल्यूम
94%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$27,930 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise's long tenure representing Louisiana's 1st Congressional District since 2008, combined with the seat's consistent partisan lean and his role as House Majority Leader, anchors the market's strong Republican consensus. Recent redistricting after the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais and the May 2026 map signing preserved the district's balance without creating new competitive openings. Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and Republican primary opponent Randall Arrington have generated limited momentum ahead of the November 3, 2026, jungle primary. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Potential shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance altering turnout in the primary and any subsequent runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$49,108समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise's long tenure representing Louisiana's 1st Congressional District since 2008, combined with the seat's consistent partisan lean and his role as House Majority Leader, anchors the market's strong Republican consensus. Recent redistricting after the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais and the May 2026 map signing preserved the district's balance without creating new competitive openings. Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and Republican primary opponent Randall Arrington have generated limited momentum ahead of the November 3, 2026, jungle primary. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Potential shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance altering turnout in the primary and any subsequent runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$49,108समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise's long tenure representing Louisiana's 1st Congressional District since 2008, combined with the seat's consistent partisan lean and his role as House Majority Leader, anchors the market's strong Republican consensus. Recent redistricting after the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais and the May 2026 map signing preserved the district's balance without creating new competitive openings. Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and Republican primary opponent Randall Arrington have generated limited momentum ahead of the November 3, 2026, jungle primary. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Potential shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance altering turnout in the primary and any subsequent runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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