Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI seat with 53% Black population centered on New Orleans, drives trader consensus toward an 87.5% Democratic win probability. No Republican candidates have filed ahead of the November 3 general election, where Louisiana's nonpartisan blanket primary system applies following the suspension of partisan primaries. The U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down the congressional map as a racial gerrymander, prompting state lawmakers to advance a new 5-1 map on May 13 that preserves LA-02 as the sole majority-Black district, reinforcing Democratic dominance despite minor fundraising edges for Carter over challenger Renada Collins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLA -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
LA -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$41,449 वॉल्यूम
$41,449 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
88%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
10%
$41,449 वॉल्यूम
$41,449 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$21,765 वॉल्यूम
88%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$19,684 वॉल्यूम
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI seat with 53% Black population centered on New Orleans, drives trader consensus toward an 87.5% Democratic win probability. No Republican candidates have filed ahead of the November 3 general election, where Louisiana's nonpartisan blanket primary system applies following the suspension of partisan primaries. The U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down the congressional map as a racial gerrymander, prompting state lawmakers to advance a new 5-1 map on May 13 that preserves LA-02 as the sole majority-Black district, reinforcing Democratic dominance despite minor fundraising edges for Carter over challenger Renada Collins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$41,449समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI seat with 53% Black population centered on New Orleans, drives trader consensus toward an 87.5% Democratic win probability. No Republican candidates have filed ahead of the November 3 general election, where Louisiana's nonpartisan blanket primary system applies following the suspension of partisan primaries. The U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down the congressional map as a racial gerrymander, prompting state lawmakers to advance a new 5-1 map on May 13 that preserves LA-02 as the sole majority-Black district, reinforcing Democratic dominance despite minor fundraising edges for Carter over challenger Renada Collins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$41,449समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI seat with 53% Black population centered on New Orleans, drives trader consensus toward an 87.5% Democratic win probability. No Republican candidates have filed ahead of the November 3 general election, where Louisiana's nonpartisan blanket primary system applies following the suspension of partisan primaries. The U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down the congressional map as a racial gerrymander, prompting state lawmakers to advance a new 5-1 map on May 13 that preserves LA-02 as the sole majority-Black district, reinforcing Democratic dominance despite minor fundraising edges for Carter over challenger Renada Collins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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