Skip to main content
icon for लेबनान संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
चुनाव·मध्य पूर्व

लेबनान संसदीय चुनाव विजेता

icon for लेबनान संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
चुनाव·मध्य पूर्व

लेबनान संसदीय चुनाव विजेता

अमल मूवमेंट (अमल) 5.9%

लेबनानी फोर्सेज (एलएफ) 3.4%

ReLebanon 2.4%

मरादा मूवमेंट (एमएम) 1.9%

Polymarket

$523,065 वॉल्यूम

अमल मूवमेंट (अमल) 5.9%

लेबनानी फोर्सेज (एलएफ) 3.4%

ReLebanon 2.4%

मरादा मूवमेंट (एमएम) 1.9%

Polymarket

$523,065 वॉल्यूम

अमल मूवमेंट (अमल)

$53,497 वॉल्यूम

6%

लेबनानी फोर्सेज (एलएफ)

$157,839 वॉल्यूम

3%

ReLebanon

$2,679 वॉल्यूम

2%

मरादा मूवमेंट (एमएम)

$2,916 वॉल्यूम

2%

इस्लामी समूह (आईजी)

$3,323 वॉल्यूम

2%

तकद्दुम पार्टी

$5,431 वॉल्यूम

1%

यूनियन पार्टी (यूपी)

$2,860 वॉल्यूम

1%

नेशनल लिबरल पार्टी (एनएलपी)

$3,940 वॉल्यूम

1%

इस्लामिक चैरिटेबल प्रोजेक्ट्स एसोसिएशन (ICPA)

$3,637 वॉल्यूम

1%

काताेब पार्टी (काताेब)

$3,985 वॉल्यूम

1%

वतनी गठबंधन (वतनी)

$3,660 वॉल्यूम

1%

हिज़्बुल्लाह (हिज़्ब)

$43,639 वॉल्यूम

1%

पॉपुलर नासेरिस्ट ऑर्गनाइजेशन (PNO)

$3,454 वॉल्यूम

1%

फ्री पैट्रियॉटिक मूवमेंट (एफपीएम)

$73,303 वॉल्यूम

<1%

नेशनल डायलॉग पार्टी (एनडीपी)

$41,878 वॉल्यूम

<1%

अर्मेनियाई क्रांतिकारी संघ (एआरएफ)

$5,095 वॉल्यूम

<1%

माडा पार्टी (माडा)

$24,353 वॉल्यूम

<1%

लाना – सोशल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (लाना)

$4,430 वॉल्यूम

<1%

प्रोग्रेसिव सोशलिस्ट पार्टी (पीएसपी)

$47,445 वॉल्यूम

<1%

लेबनान में अरब समाजवादी बाथ पार्टी (बाथ)

$6,552 वॉल्यूम

<1%

खत्त अहमर

$3,318 वॉल्यूम

<1%

इंडिपेंडेंस मूवमेंट (आईएम)

$3,125 वॉल्यूम

<1%

डिग्निटी मूवमेंट (डीएम)

$22,705 वॉल्यूम

<1%

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Trader consensus reflects profound uncertainty in Lebanon's parliamentary landscape following parliament's March 2026 vote to postpone May elections to 2028, citing the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire's fallout, mass displacement, and humanitarian crisis, with 76 votes extending the current mandate amid stalled border talks. Amal Movement edges as implied leader at under 6% due to Speaker Nabih Berri's enduring Shia influence and alliance ties, while Lebanese Forces trails on Christian opposition to Hezbollah but lacks broad consolidation. Recent Sunni MP unity under Fouad Makhzoumi signals anti-Hezbollah realignment favoring state sovereignty and direct Israel negotiations, yet fragmented alternatives like Marada's pro-stability Christian base prevent clear frontrunners. Confessional seat allocations and coalition negotiations remain pivotal; economic recovery, Hezbollah disarmament progress, or snap election triggers could rally support behind reformist or traditional blocs.

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
वॉल्यूम
$523,065
समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 4:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Trader consensus reflects profound uncertainty in Lebanon's parliamentary landscape following parliament's March 2026 vote to postpone May elections to 2028, citing the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire's fallout, mass displacement, and humanitarian crisis, with 76 votes extending the current mandate amid stalled border talks. Amal Movement edges as implied leader at under 6% due to Speaker Nabih Berri's enduring Shia influence and alliance ties, while Lebanese Forces trails on Christian opposition to Hezbollah but lacks broad consolidation. Recent Sunni MP unity under Fouad Makhzoumi signals anti-Hezbollah realignment favoring state sovereignty and direct Israel negotiations, yet fragmented alternatives like Marada's pro-stability Christian base prevent clear frontrunners. Confessional seat allocations and coalition negotiations remain pivotal; economic recovery, Hezbollah disarmament progress, or snap election triggers could rally support behind reformist or traditional blocs.

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
वॉल्यूम
$523,065
समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 4:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"लेबनान संसदीय चुनाव विजेता" Polymarket पर 23 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, अमल मूवमेंट (अमल) 6% (6¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद लेबनानी फोर्सेज (एलएफ) 3% पर है।

आज तक, "लेबनान संसदीय चुनाव विजेता" ने कुल $523.1K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Jan 6, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"लेबनान संसदीय चुनाव विजेता" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 23 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

यह एक खुला बाज़ार है। "लेबनान संसदीय चुनाव विजेता" के लिए वर्तमान अग्रणी "अमल मूवमेंट (अमल)" केवल 6% पर है, "लेबनानी फोर्सेज (एलएफ)" 3% पर पास है। किसी भी परिणाम के पास मज़बूत बहुमत नहीं होने से, ट्रेडर इसे अत्यधिक अनिश्चित मानते हैं। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं।

"लेबनान संसदीय चुनाव विजेता" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।