Recent Houthi missile and drone strikes on Saudi airports, including multiple October 2026 attacks on Riyadh’s King Khalid International Airport that caused temporary full closures, fatalities, and hundreds of flight cancellations, have prompted airline suspensions through mid-November and EASA/FAA risk advisories covering portions of the Jeddah FIR. Saudi authorities responded with targeted NOTAMs, prior-permission requirements, and localized restrictions rather than a broad commercial closure across OEJD airspace, which has remained open for overflights and most operations. Traders assign low implied probabilities to a general closure by late 2026 deadlines because historical patterns show Saudi air navigation services prioritizing continuity amid regional threats, though further escalation in Yemen-linked attacks or expanded international warnings could alter that assessment before year-end.
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