Trader consensus heavily favors a 74–75°F overnight low for Austin on August 23 because National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models projected minimal cooling under persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome, with climatological August lows averaging near 75°F. Official observations recorded a minimum of 71°F at Bergstrom, yet market positioning reflects pre-event model guidance showing little deviation from the mid-70s amid record daytime highs exceeding 105°F. This skin-in-the-game assessment aligns with typical summer radiative cooling limits when dew points remain elevated. A late-arriving cold front or localized measurement discrepancy at the primary reporting station could have altered resolution, though such shifts were deemed improbable given stable steering patterns and short-range model agreement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 अगस्त को ऑस्टिन में सबसे कम तापमान?
23 अगस्त को ऑस्टिन में सबसे कम तापमान?
74-75°F 99%
71°F या उससे कम <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$4,814 वॉल्यूम
$4,814 वॉल्यूम
23 अग, 2026
71°F या उससे कम
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
99%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
74-75°F 99%
71°F या उससे कम <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$4,814 वॉल्यूम
$4,814 वॉल्यूम
23 अग, 2026
71°F या उससे कम
$156 वॉल्यूम
<1%
72-73°F
$956 वॉल्यूम
<1%
74-75°F
$1,385 वॉल्यूम
99%
76-77°F
$360 वॉल्यूम
<1%
78-79°F
$105 वॉल्यूम
<1%
80-81°F
$105 वॉल्यूम
<1%
82-83°F
$105 वॉल्यूम
<1%
84-85°F
$863 वॉल्यूम
<1%
86-87°F
$180 वॉल्यूम
<1%
88-89°F
$399 वॉल्यूम
<1%
90°F या उससे अधिक
$200 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 74–75°F overnight low for Austin on August 23 because National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models projected minimal cooling under persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome, with climatological August lows averaging near 75°F. Official observations recorded a minimum of 71°F at Bergstrom, yet market positioning reflects pre-event model guidance showing little deviation from the mid-70s amid record daytime highs exceeding 105°F. This skin-in-the-game assessment aligns with typical summer radiative cooling limits when dew points remain elevated. A late-arriving cold front or localized measurement discrepancy at the primary reporting station could have altered resolution, though such shifts were deemed improbable given stable steering patterns and short-range model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,814समाप्ति तिथि
23 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 74–75°F overnight low for Austin on August 23 because National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models projected minimal cooling under persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome, with climatological August lows averaging near 75°F. Official observations recorded a minimum of 71°F at Bergstrom, yet market positioning reflects pre-event model guidance showing little deviation from the mid-70s amid record daytime highs exceeding 105°F. This skin-in-the-game assessment aligns with typical summer radiative cooling limits when dew points remain elevated. A late-arriving cold front or localized measurement discrepancy at the primary reporting station could have altered resolution, though such shifts were deemed improbable given stable steering patterns and short-range model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$4,814समाप्ति तिथि
23 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 74–75°F overnight low for Austin on August 23 because National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models projected minimal cooling under persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome, with climatological August lows averaging near 75°F. Official observations recorded a minimum of 71°F at Bergstrom, yet market positioning reflects pre-event model guidance showing little deviation from the mid-70s amid record daytime highs exceeding 105°F. This skin-in-the-game assessment aligns with typical summer radiative cooling limits when dew points remain elevated. A late-arriving cold front or localized measurement discrepancy at the primary reporting station could have altered resolution, though such shifts were deemed improbable given stable steering patterns and short-range model agreement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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