Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability to a 21°C low in Busan on September 16 because multiple numerical weather models and agency guidance converge on an overnight minimum near that value under northeast winds of 15–25 km/h, partly cloudy skies, and dew points around 15–17°C. These conditions promote efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 26–27°C without significant moisture or frontal activity to moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines for the region average lows near 21°C, providing climatological support. A realistic shift would require rapid model divergence, such as unexpected thicker cloud cover suppressing cooling or a stronger onshore flow raising the minimum above 22°C, though current observational trends and short-range guidance leave little room for such outcomes before midnight resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 सितंबर को बुसान में सबसे कम तापमान?
21°C 99.5%
16°C 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
$300 वॉल्यूम
$300 वॉल्यूम
15°C या उससे कम
नहीं
16°C
नहीं
17°C
नहीं
18°C
नहीं
19°C
नहीं
20°C
नहीं
21°C
हाँ
22°C
नहीं
23°C
नहीं
24°C
नहीं
25°C या अधिक
नहीं
21°C 99.5%
16°C 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
$300 वॉल्यूम
$300 वॉल्यूम
15°C या उससे कम
नहीं
16°C
नहीं
17°C
नहीं
18°C
नहीं
19°C
नहीं
20°C
नहीं
21°C
हाँ
22°C
नहीं
23°C
नहीं
24°C
नहीं
25°C या अधिक
नहीं
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability to a 21°C low in Busan on September 16 because multiple numerical weather models and agency guidance converge on an overnight minimum near that value under northeast winds of 15–25 km/h, partly cloudy skies, and dew points around 15–17°C. These conditions promote efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 26–27°C without significant moisture or frontal activity to moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines for the region average lows near 21°C, providing climatological support. A realistic shift would require rapid model divergence, such as unexpected thicker cloud cover suppressing cooling or a stronger onshore flow raising the minimum above 22°C, though current observational trends and short-range guidance leave little room for such outcomes before midnight resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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