Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered rain on September 15, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and weak frontal activity across the Sichuan Basin, which limits radiative cooling and supports elevated overnight minimums near 18–19°C. High humidity levels near 80–85% and light northeasterly winds further reduce the diurnal temperature range, consistent with historical September patterns where average lows hover around 19°C before seasonal decline. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF shows minimal disagreement on these conditions through the short term, though any clearing could allow greater cooling toward 16°C. Trader emphasis on 24°C-or-higher outcomes at 47% implied probability reflects expectations that these stabilizing factors will hold, with resolution hinging on final observational data from local stations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 सितंबर को चेंगदू में सबसे कम तापमान?
24°C या उससे अधिक 94%
18°C 21%
19°C 21%
20°C 21%
14°C या उससे नीचे
1%
15°C
17%
16°C
19%
17°C
19%
18°C
21%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
19%
22°C
10%
23°C
19%
24°C या उससे अधिक
94%
24°C या उससे अधिक 94%
18°C 21%
19°C 21%
20°C 21%
14°C या उससे नीचे
1%
15°C
17%
16°C
19%
17°C
19%
18°C
21%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
19%
22°C
10%
23°C
19%
24°C या उससे अधिक
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered rain on September 15, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and weak frontal activity across the Sichuan Basin, which limits radiative cooling and supports elevated overnight minimums near 18–19°C. High humidity levels near 80–85% and light northeasterly winds further reduce the diurnal temperature range, consistent with historical September patterns where average lows hover around 19°C before seasonal decline. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF shows minimal disagreement on these conditions through the short term, though any clearing could allow greater cooling toward 16°C. Trader emphasis on 24°C-or-higher outcomes at 47% implied probability reflects expectations that these stabilizing factors will hold, with resolution hinging on final observational data from local stations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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