Recent high-pressure dominance over the Midwest, combined with northwest flow and clear skies, has driven cooler-than-average overnight temperatures into Chicago, with official NWS and model guidance pointing to a Monday night low near 57–62 °F—below the late-August climatological norm of ~65 °F. This setup favors radiational cooling under light winds, yet limits extreme drops absent a stronger cold advection event. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight clustering around the 56–57 °F outcome at 34 % implied probability versus nearby bins, incorporates both the current forecast consensus and residual uncertainty from local urban heat-island effects, variable cloud timing, and potential model revisions before the minimum is recorded on August 24.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे कम तापमान?
24 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे कम तापमान?
47°F या उससे कम 57%
66°F या अधिक 49%
58-59°F 37%
56-57°F 33%
नया
नया
24 अग, 2026
47°F या उससे कम
57%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
33%
58-59°F
31%
60-61°F
11%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
1%
66°F या अधिक
49%
47°F या उससे कम 57%
66°F या अधिक 49%
58-59°F 37%
56-57°F 33%
नया
नया
24 अग, 2026
47°F या उससे कम
$12 वॉल्यूम
57%
48-49°F
$55 वॉल्यूम
3%
50-51°F
$55 वॉल्यूम
15%
52-53°F
$885 वॉल्यूम
16%
54-55°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
21%
56-57°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
33%
58-59°F
$5 वॉल्यूम
31%
60-61°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
62-63°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
10%
64-65°F
$90 वॉल्यूम
1%
66°F या अधिक
$85 वॉल्यूम
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over the Midwest, combined with northwest flow and clear skies, has driven cooler-than-average overnight temperatures into Chicago, with official NWS and model guidance pointing to a Monday night low near 57–62 °F—below the late-August climatological norm of ~65 °F. This setup favors radiational cooling under light winds, yet limits extreme drops absent a stronger cold advection event. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight clustering around the 56–57 °F outcome at 34 % implied probability versus nearby bins, incorporates both the current forecast consensus and residual uncertainty from local urban heat-island effects, variable cloud timing, and potential model revisions before the minimum is recorded on August 24.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,187समाप्ति तिथि
24 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over the Midwest, combined with northwest flow and clear skies, has driven cooler-than-average overnight temperatures into Chicago, with official NWS and model guidance pointing to a Monday night low near 57–62 °F—below the late-August climatological norm of ~65 °F. This setup favors radiational cooling under light winds, yet limits extreme drops absent a stronger cold advection event. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight clustering around the 56–57 °F outcome at 34 % implied probability versus nearby bins, incorporates both the current forecast consensus and residual uncertainty from local urban heat-island effects, variable cloud timing, and potential model revisions before the minimum is recorded on August 24.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,187समाप्ति तिथि
24 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure dominance over the Midwest, combined with northwest flow and clear skies, has driven cooler-than-average overnight temperatures into Chicago, with official NWS and model guidance pointing to a Monday night low near 57–62 °F—below the late-August climatological norm of ~65 °F. This setup favors radiational cooling under light winds, yet limits extreme drops absent a stronger cold advection event. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight clustering around the 56–57 °F outcome at 34 % implied probability versus nearby bins, incorporates both the current forecast consensus and residual uncertainty from local urban heat-island effects, variable cloud timing, and potential model revisions before the minimum is recorded on August 24.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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