Clear skies and calm winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving radiative cooling overnight in Madrid, with official forecasts and numerical models converging on a minimum near 12°C. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for that exact low, well below the 16.2°C climatological average yet consistent with observed conditions on September 11. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in the absence of significant cloud cover or advection that could limit cooling. A realistic challenge would require last-minute model revisions showing increased humidity, unexpected southeasterly flow, or localized measurement discrepancies at the primary station.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया11 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
11 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
12°C 100.0%
11°C या उससे कम <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$1,129 वॉल्यूम
$1,129 वॉल्यूम
11 सित, 2026
11°C या उससे कम
नहीं
12°C
हाँ
13°C
नहीं
14°C
नहीं
15°C
नहीं
16°C
नहीं
17°C
नहीं
18°C
नहीं
19°C
नहीं
20°C
नहीं
21°C या अधिक
नहीं
12°C 100.0%
11°C या उससे कम <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$1,129 वॉल्यूम
$1,129 वॉल्यूम
11 सित, 2026
11°C या उससे कम
$350 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
12°C
$310 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
13°C
$31 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
14°C
$118 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
15°C
$250 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
19°C
$15 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
20°C
$40 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
21°C या अधिक
$15 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and calm winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving radiative cooling overnight in Madrid, with official forecasts and numerical models converging on a minimum near 12°C. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for that exact low, well below the 16.2°C climatological average yet consistent with observed conditions on September 11. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in the absence of significant cloud cover or advection that could limit cooling. A realistic challenge would require last-minute model revisions showing increased humidity, unexpected southeasterly flow, or localized measurement discrepancies at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,129समाप्ति तिथि
11 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and calm winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving radiative cooling overnight in Madrid, with official forecasts and numerical models converging on a minimum near 12°C. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for that exact low, well below the 16.2°C climatological average yet consistent with observed conditions on September 11. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in the absence of significant cloud cover or advection that could limit cooling. A realistic challenge would require last-minute model revisions showing increased humidity, unexpected southeasterly flow, or localized measurement discrepancies at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,129समाप्ति तिथि
11 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Clear skies and calm winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving radiative cooling overnight in Madrid, with official forecasts and numerical models converging on a minimum near 12°C. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for that exact low, well below the 16.2°C climatological average yet consistent with observed conditions on September 11. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in the absence of significant cloud cover or advection that could limit cooling. A realistic challenge would require last-minute model revisions showing increased humidity, unexpected southeasterly flow, or localized measurement discrepancies at the primary station.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न