Forecast models from sources including AEMET and international ensembles indicate Madrid's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 15°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. This positioning reflects typical mid-September radiative cooling rates for the city's 655 m elevation and urban heat island, tempered by recent above-average warmth that has kept surface temperatures elevated. The tight clustering of market odds around 13–16°C stems from minor model disagreements on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, but current dry, stable high-pressure conditions limit downside risk below 13°C while capping upside above 17°C absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts. Updated model runs and official AEMET briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
18 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
12°C या उससे कम 81%
15°C 40%
14°C 39%
17°C 39%
नया
नया
18 सित, 2026
12°C या उससे कम
81%
13°C
27%
14°C
39%
15°C
40%
16°C
25%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
14%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C या अधिक
2%
12°C या उससे कम 81%
15°C 40%
14°C 39%
17°C 39%
नया
नया
18 सित, 2026
12°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
81%
13°C
$9 वॉल्यूम
27%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
20°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
21°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
22°C या अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AEMET and international ensembles indicate Madrid's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 15°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. This positioning reflects typical mid-September radiative cooling rates for the city's 655 m elevation and urban heat island, tempered by recent above-average warmth that has kept surface temperatures elevated. The tight clustering of market odds around 13–16°C stems from minor model disagreements on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, but current dry, stable high-pressure conditions limit downside risk below 13°C while capping upside above 17°C absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts. Updated model runs and official AEMET briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9समाप्ति तिथि
18 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AEMET and international ensembles indicate Madrid's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 15°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. This positioning reflects typical mid-September radiative cooling rates for the city's 655 m elevation and urban heat island, tempered by recent above-average warmth that has kept surface temperatures elevated. The tight clustering of market odds around 13–16°C stems from minor model disagreements on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, but current dry, stable high-pressure conditions limit downside risk below 13°C while capping upside above 17°C absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts. Updated model runs and official AEMET briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$9समाप्ति तिथि
18 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including AEMET and international ensembles indicate Madrid's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 15°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. This positioning reflects typical mid-September radiative cooling rates for the city's 655 m elevation and urban heat island, tempered by recent above-average warmth that has kept surface temperatures elevated. The tight clustering of market odds around 13–16°C stems from minor model disagreements on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, but current dry, stable high-pressure conditions limit downside risk below 13°C while capping upside above 17°C absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts. Updated model runs and official AEMET briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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