Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance shows the most probable overnight minimum in New York City on August 15 falling between 70°F and 73°F, matching the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins. August climatology features average Central Park lows near 70°F, and the current warm, humid air mass with light winds and limited cloud cover is expected to restrict radiative cooling overnight. Persistent above-normal temperatures through mid-August have kept recent nightly lows in the low 70s, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow ranges rather than cooler or warmer outliers. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term driver of any shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
15 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
70-71°F 45%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 13%
74-75°F 6%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
57°F या उससे कम
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
6%
76°F या उससे अधिक
1%
70-71°F 45%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 13%
74-75°F 6%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
57°F या उससे कम
$300 वॉल्यूम
<1%
58-59°F
$281 वॉल्यूम
<1%
60-61°F
$437 वॉल्यूम
1%
62-63°F
$198 वॉल्यूम
1%
64-65°F
$274 वॉल्यूम
3%
66-67°F
$178 वॉल्यूम
4%
68-69°F
$111 वॉल्यूम
13%
70-71°F
$95 वॉल्यूम
45%
72-73°F
$211 वॉल्यूम
26%
74-75°F
$158 वॉल्यूम
6%
76°F या उससे अधिक
$433 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance shows the most probable overnight minimum in New York City on August 15 falling between 70°F and 73°F, matching the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins. August climatology features average Central Park lows near 70°F, and the current warm, humid air mass with light winds and limited cloud cover is expected to restrict radiative cooling overnight. Persistent above-normal temperatures through mid-August have kept recent nightly lows in the low 70s, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow ranges rather than cooler or warmer outliers. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term driver of any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,677समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance shows the most probable overnight minimum in New York City on August 15 falling between 70°F and 73°F, matching the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins. August climatology features average Central Park lows near 70°F, and the current warm, humid air mass with light winds and limited cloud cover is expected to restrict radiative cooling overnight. Persistent above-normal temperatures through mid-August have kept recent nightly lows in the low 70s, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow ranges rather than cooler or warmer outliers. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term driver of any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,677समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance shows the most probable overnight minimum in New York City on August 15 falling between 70°F and 73°F, matching the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins. August climatology features average Central Park lows near 70°F, and the current warm, humid air mass with light winds and limited cloud cover is expected to restrict radiative cooling overnight. Persistent above-normal temperatures through mid-August have kept recent nightly lows in the low 70s, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow ranges rather than cooler or warmer outliers. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term driver of any shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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