Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position the implied probability for a 70-71°F low as the consensus outcome, driven by a persistent warm, humid southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. With August climatological normals around 70°F and the Climate Prediction Center’s outlook favoring above-average temperatures, current guidance shows overnight minima settling in the lower to mid-70s before any urban heat-island adjustment. Traders are weighting these forecasts heavily because resolution uses the official LaGuardia or Central Park minimum, and no significant frontal passage is expected before dawn on August 5. Minor model spread around dew-point recovery and boundary-layer mixing keeps 68-69°F as a plausible secondary outcome but at lower odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
5 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
70-71°F 61%
68-69°F 30%
72-73°F 12%
74-75°F 2.1%
नया
नया
5 अग, 2026
57°F या उससे कम
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
61%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
2%
76°F या अधिक
<1%
70-71°F 61%
68-69°F 30%
72-73°F 12%
74-75°F 2.1%
नया
नया
5 अग, 2026
57°F या उससे कम
$207 वॉल्यूम
<1%
58-59°F
$362 वॉल्यूम
<1%
60-61°F
$361 वॉल्यूम
<1%
62-63°F
$918 वॉल्यूम
<1%
64-65°F
$1,150 वॉल्यूम
<1%
66-67°F
$329 वॉल्यूम
2%
68-69°F
$665 वॉल्यूम
30%
70-71°F
$1,688 वॉल्यूम
61%
72-73°F
$293 वॉल्यूम
12%
74-75°F
$2,225 वॉल्यूम
2%
76°F या अधिक
$1,657 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position the implied probability for a 70-71°F low as the consensus outcome, driven by a persistent warm, humid southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. With August climatological normals around 70°F and the Climate Prediction Center’s outlook favoring above-average temperatures, current guidance shows overnight minima settling in the lower to mid-70s before any urban heat-island adjustment. Traders are weighting these forecasts heavily because resolution uses the official LaGuardia or Central Park minimum, and no significant frontal passage is expected before dawn on August 5. Minor model spread around dew-point recovery and boundary-layer mixing keeps 68-69°F as a plausible secondary outcome but at lower odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,856समाप्ति तिथि
5 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position the implied probability for a 70-71°F low as the consensus outcome, driven by a persistent warm, humid southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. With August climatological normals around 70°F and the Climate Prediction Center’s outlook favoring above-average temperatures, current guidance shows overnight minima settling in the lower to mid-70s before any urban heat-island adjustment. Traders are weighting these forecasts heavily because resolution uses the official LaGuardia or Central Park minimum, and no significant frontal passage is expected before dawn on August 5. Minor model spread around dew-point recovery and boundary-layer mixing keeps 68-69°F as a plausible secondary outcome but at lower odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$9,856समाप्ति तिथि
5 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETLatest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position the implied probability for a 70-71°F low as the consensus outcome, driven by a persistent warm, humid southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. With August climatological normals around 70°F and the Climate Prediction Center’s outlook favoring above-average temperatures, current guidance shows overnight minima settling in the lower to mid-70s before any urban heat-island adjustment. Traders are weighting these forecasts heavily because resolution uses the official LaGuardia or Central Park minimum, and no significant frontal passage is expected before dawn on August 5. Minor model spread around dew-point recovery and boundary-layer mixing keeps 68-69°F as a plausible secondary outcome but at lower odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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