Current forecasts from multiple sources project a daily minimum of 19–21°C in Qingdao on September 3 under clear skies and moderate northerly to northeasterly winds of 3–5 m/s, consistent with early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region where marine influence limits radiative cooling. Stable high-pressure conditions and lack of cold-air advection or frontal systems support these values, with historical analogs showing typical September lows near 20°C. Trader consensus assigning 45% implied probability to 14°C or below likely reflects pricing of forecast uncertainty, potential model spread in boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban effects, though no recent observational shifts or updated model runs indicate departure from the warmer baseline. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will be key.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 सितंबर को क़िंगदाओ में सबसे कम तापमान?
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
24°C या उससे अधिक 47%
14°C या उससे कम
16%
15°C
26%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
2%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C या उससे अधिक
47%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
24°C या उससे अधिक 47%
14°C या उससे कम
16%
15°C
26%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
2%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C या उससे अधिक
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple sources project a daily minimum of 19–21°C in Qingdao on September 3 under clear skies and moderate northerly to northeasterly winds of 3–5 m/s, consistent with early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region where marine influence limits radiative cooling. Stable high-pressure conditions and lack of cold-air advection or frontal systems support these values, with historical analogs showing typical September lows near 20°C. Trader consensus assigning 45% implied probability to 14°C or below likely reflects pricing of forecast uncertainty, potential model spread in boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban effects, though no recent observational shifts or updated model runs indicate departure from the warmer baseline. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will be key.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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