Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models positions overnight lows in Shanghai near 26–27°C for August 19, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 50% at 27°C and 29.5% at 26°C. Typical late-summer subtropical conditions—driven by warm, moist southerly flow, high humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling in the urban heat island—support this range, with historical August averages around 25–26°C. Short-term model runs show minimal influence from passing showers or weak fronts, keeping temperatures stable rather than dipping lower or spiking above 28°C. Traders appear to weight these steady conditions heavily ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
27°C 51%
26°C 30%
28°C 18%
24°C 8%
21°C या उससे नीचे
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
6%
26°C
30%
27°C
51%
28°C
18%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C या अधिक
1%
27°C 51%
26°C 30%
28°C 18%
24°C 8%
21°C या उससे नीचे
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
6%
26°C
30%
27°C
51%
28°C
18%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C या अधिक
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models positions overnight lows in Shanghai near 26–27°C for August 19, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 50% at 27°C and 29.5% at 26°C. Typical late-summer subtropical conditions—driven by warm, moist southerly flow, high humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling in the urban heat island—support this range, with historical August averages around 25–26°C. Short-term model runs show minimal influence from passing showers or weak fronts, keeping temperatures stable rather than dipping lower or spiking above 28°C. Traders appear to weight these steady conditions heavily ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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