Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Moolenaar’s unopposed primary victory and prior 65 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Recent primary results and limited Democratic fundraising further reinforce this positioning. A late national partisan wave, significant incumbent scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMI -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MI -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$53,857 वॉल्यूम
$53,857 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
97%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
1%
$53,857 वॉल्यूम
$53,857 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$22,752 वॉल्यूम
97%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$31,105 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Moolenaar’s unopposed primary victory and prior 65 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Recent primary results and limited Democratic fundraising further reinforce this positioning. A late national partisan wave, significant incumbent scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$53,857समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Moolenaar’s unopposed primary victory and prior 65 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Recent primary results and limited Democratic fundraising further reinforce this positioning. A late national partisan wave, significant incumbent scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$53,857समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Moolenaar’s unopposed primary victory and prior 65 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Recent primary results and limited Democratic fundraising further reinforce this positioning. A late national partisan wave, significant incumbent scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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