Montana’s western congressional district remains tightly contested for the open House seat after Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke announced his retirement. The district carries an R+5 partisan voter index, yet Democratic primary contenders including Ryan Busse have demonstrated strong fundraising and early polling leads among a crowded field. Republican hopefuls, with Aaron Flint receiving a Trump endorsement, seek to unify their base ahead of the June 2 primaries. Recent generic ballot surveys place the parties within a few points, underscoring the absence of incumbency advantage and the district’s mix of liberal-leaning college towns and rural areas. This balance keeps trader consensus near even odds, with nominee clarity after the primaries expected to influence momentum toward the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
59%
Republican Party
50%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$392 वॉल्यूम
59%
Republican Party
$1,011 वॉल्यूम
50%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s western congressional district remains tightly contested for the open House seat after Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke announced his retirement. The district carries an R+5 partisan voter index, yet Democratic primary contenders including Ryan Busse have demonstrated strong fundraising and early polling leads among a crowded field. Republican hopefuls, with Aaron Flint receiving a Trump endorsement, seek to unify their base ahead of the June 2 primaries. Recent generic ballot surveys place the parties within a few points, underscoring the absence of incumbency advantage and the district’s mix of liberal-leaning college towns and rural areas. This balance keeps trader consensus near even odds, with nominee clarity after the primaries expected to influence momentum toward the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,402समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s western congressional district remains tightly contested for the open House seat after Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke announced his retirement. The district carries an R+5 partisan voter index, yet Democratic primary contenders including Ryan Busse have demonstrated strong fundraising and early polling leads among a crowded field. Republican hopefuls, with Aaron Flint receiving a Trump endorsement, seek to unify their base ahead of the June 2 primaries. Recent generic ballot surveys place the parties within a few points, underscoring the absence of incumbency advantage and the district’s mix of liberal-leaning college towns and rural areas. This balance keeps trader consensus near even odds, with nominee clarity after the primaries expected to influence momentum toward the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$1,402समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana’s western congressional district remains tightly contested for the open House seat after Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke announced his retirement. The district carries an R+5 partisan voter index, yet Democratic primary contenders including Ryan Busse have demonstrated strong fundraising and early polling leads among a crowded field. Republican hopefuls, with Aaron Flint receiving a Trump endorsement, seek to unify their base ahead of the June 2 primaries. Recent generic ballot surveys place the parties within a few points, underscoring the absence of incumbency advantage and the district’s mix of liberal-leaning college towns and rural areas. This balance keeps trader consensus near even odds, with nominee clarity after the primaries expected to influence momentum toward the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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