Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5%, reflecting a 39.5% implied chance that Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton defeats incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the GOP Senate primary runoff on May 26, preventing both Democrat James Talarico—already nominated—and Cornyn from advancing as general election candidates, the sole remaining trigger. No other conditions occurred by March 31: the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% without a cut; the SAVE Act passed the House but stalled in the Senate; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration or invoked the Insurrection Act; and Iran's regime withstood U.S.-Israeli strikes without collapsing. Recent University of Houston polling shows Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-45% amid grassroots momentum, with early voting underway from May 18.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकुछ भी नहीं
$340,466 वॉल्यूम
$340,466 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2026
कुछ भी नहीं
$340,466 वॉल्यूम
$340,466 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5%, reflecting a 39.5% implied chance that Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton defeats incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the GOP Senate primary runoff on May 26, preventing both Democrat James Talarico—already nominated—and Cornyn from advancing as general election candidates, the sole remaining trigger. No other conditions occurred by March 31: the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% without a cut; the SAVE Act passed the House but stalled in the Senate; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration or invoked the Insurrection Act; and Iran's regime withstood U.S.-Israeli strikes without collapsing. Recent University of Houston polling shows Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-45% amid grassroots momentum, with early voting underway from May 18.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$340,466समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5%, reflecting a 39.5% implied chance that Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton defeats incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the GOP Senate primary runoff on May 26, preventing both Democrat James Talarico—already nominated—and Cornyn from advancing as general election candidates, the sole remaining trigger. No other conditions occurred by March 31: the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% without a cut; the SAVE Act passed the House but stalled in the Senate; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration or invoked the Insurrection Act; and Iran's regime withstood U.S.-Israeli strikes without collapsing. Recent University of Houston polling shows Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-45% amid grassroots momentum, with early voting underway from May 18.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
वॉल्यूम
$340,466समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5%, reflecting a 39.5% implied chance that Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton defeats incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the GOP Senate primary runoff on May 26, preventing both Democrat James Talarico—already nominated—and Cornyn from advancing as general election candidates, the sole remaining trigger. No other conditions occurred by March 31: the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% without a cut; the SAVE Act passed the House but stalled in the Senate; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration or invoked the Insurrection Act; and Iran's regime withstood U.S.-Israeli strikes without collapsing. Recent University of Houston polling shows Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-45% amid grassroots momentum, with early voting underway from May 18.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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