Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 64.5% on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: 2026" market, driven by the absence of any triggering events through mid-May amid stabilizing geopolitical signals. A May 9 Ukraine Victory Day truce eased Russia-NATO invasion risks, while U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Hormuz targets did not qualify as full invasion. Bitcoin holds steady near $80,000, distant from $1 million or $10,000 extremes; President Trump remains in office, Xi Jinping secure, and no Iranian regime change, Epstein revival, Greenland acquisition, or major disasters (9.0+ earthquake, VEI ≥6 volcano, 250kt+ meteor) have occurred. Traders weigh low odds of Republican Senate supermajority post-midterms or escalations ahead of the Trump-Xi Taiwan summit.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकभी कुछ नहीं होता: 2026
कभी कुछ नहीं होता: 2026
हाँ
$557,377 वॉल्यूम
$557,377 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$557,377 वॉल्यूम
$557,377 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus prices "Yes" at 64.5% on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: 2026" market, driven by the absence of any triggering events through mid-May amid stabilizing geopolitical signals. A May 9 Ukraine Victory Day truce eased Russia-NATO invasion risks, while U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Hormuz targets did not qualify as full invasion. Bitcoin holds steady near $80,000, distant from $1 million or $10,000 extremes; President Trump remains in office, Xi Jinping secure, and no Iranian regime change, Epstein revival, Greenland acquisition, or major disasters (9.0+ earthquake, VEI ≥6 volcano, 250kt+ meteor) have occurred. Traders weigh low odds of Republican Senate supermajority post-midterms or escalations ahead of the Trump-Xi Taiwan summit.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$557,377समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus prices "Yes" at 64.5% on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: 2026" market, driven by the absence of any triggering events through mid-May amid stabilizing geopolitical signals. A May 9 Ukraine Victory Day truce eased Russia-NATO invasion risks, while U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Hormuz targets did not qualify as full invasion. Bitcoin holds steady near $80,000, distant from $1 million or $10,000 extremes; President Trump remains in office, Xi Jinping secure, and no Iranian regime change, Epstein revival, Greenland acquisition, or major disasters (9.0+ earthquake, VEI ≥6 volcano, 250kt+ meteor) have occurred. Traders weigh low odds of Republican Senate supermajority post-midterms or escalations ahead of the Trump-Xi Taiwan summit.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
वॉल्यूम
$557,377समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 64.5% on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: 2026" market, driven by the absence of any triggering events through mid-May amid stabilizing geopolitical signals. A May 9 Ukraine Victory Day truce eased Russia-NATO invasion risks, while U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Hormuz targets did not qualify as full invasion. Bitcoin holds steady near $80,000, distant from $1 million or $10,000 extremes; President Trump remains in office, Xi Jinping secure, and no Iranian regime change, Epstein revival, Greenland acquisition, or major disasters (9.0+ earthquake, VEI ≥6 volcano, 250kt+ meteor) have occurred. Traders weigh low odds of Republican Senate supermajority post-midterms or escalations ahead of the Trump-Xi Taiwan summit.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न